100NL 6m AA against what looks like 2 pair

Gobgogbog · #1 04-11-2006, 01:36 AM

Villain as new to me. The flop bet size was a mistake-- I thought the pot was $6 and this was a 2/3 bet. More commentary at the end.

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $52.25
UTG+1: $86
CO: $59.90
Button: $244.15
Hero: $113.70
BB: $36

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
4 folds, Hero raises to $3.5, BB calls.

Flop: 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($7, 2 players)
Hero bets $4, BB calls.

Turn: K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($15, 2 players)
Hero bets $10, BB raises all-in $29. Hero ???

I figured him for K7, maybe K6. Against those hands, I need just over 4:1 to call, and I'm getting just under 3:1. I figured the chance he has AK or maybe even KQ and thinks I'm full of it might make up for it. I figured sets were more likely to let me put the rest of the money in on my own, but now that I'm away from the table I think that's some flawed logic.

the machine · #2 04-11-2006, 01:40 AM

i call this everytime and if he has k6/k7 i make a note. we will see k10-ak enough times where someone has floated and hit and now pushes his TP. i see it all the time

Case Closed · #3 04-11-2006, 01:49 AM

I'd call. A lot of times this is a moron shortstack who wants to give away his stack for some reason. Sometimes you run into a real hand. But I fee like most of the time you are more than good here.

DeadMoney_J · #4 04-11-2006, 03:18 AM

I think you're good in the situation (for the price) enough to warrant a call. Even if not then I have some good info to note on Villain.

Jamougha · #5 04-11-2006, 03:22 AM

He is too short, if he has you beat then pay it off. Seriously, what do you think he's going to do on the turn, call and leave himself with $19 in a $35 pot? If you're not calling his push then don't bet.

Bet more on flop and turn.

matt2411 · #6 04-11-2006, 03:37 AM

I dont see why he would make this play if he had something as strong as 2 pair.

you bet twice and he has position on you so smooth calling here and letting you bet the rest into him would be the most preferred method, i think hes looking for you to fold here.

easy call.

DeadMoney_J · #7 04-11-2006, 03:45 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I dont see why he would make this play if he had something as strong as 2 pair.
....., i think hes looking for you to fold here.

[/ QUOTE ]
I agree that its a call. But you think he wants a fold? Does Villain really think hero is going to fold after showing that agression and for only ~$19 more at that? I think Villain thinks he's ahead here with anything from 2 pair to KQ. See it all the time.

matt2411 · #8 04-11-2006, 03:58 AM

Actually yes i think he would prefer a fold. If the player is anywhere near smart he wants to get as much value into it as possible and shorthanded, in a blind vs blind as a short stack the ONLY move he has to win the hand other than showdown is to to reraise all in... the reraise is decent, enough to make a marginal hand fold when that scare card came out, he may have a king but i think its just as likely that he's repping it, and hoping for a fold.

2 pair is very strong HU vs 1 person, and if he bets on 2 streets hes definitely calling a 3rd bet. and with top 2 pair why would he even THINK about a move which COULD induce a fold?

Ogren · #9 04-11-2006, 04:05 AM

I would go for the call. Have seen it many times; a short stack hits top pair on the flop, calls a bet on the flop and pushes the turn no matter what hits.

DeadMoney_J · #10 04-11-2006, 04:12 AM

[ QUOTE ]
the reraise is decent, enough to make a marginal hand fold

[/ QUOTE ]
First of off, not a big deal but it is just a raise not a reraise.
But if we assume that villain is as much of a thinking player as you assume here then he has to realize that aside from maybe under betting a little Hero has shown agression and strength. So if he's thinking that much, does he really think that hero is folding for another $19 in a $54 pot? I'll admit that I've also seen this with complete air but either way I call. Maybe Im just closed minded here due to my experience in these situations with Party Donks.