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#1
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Teach e to fold bottom set
Villian here is a huge nit. 7.8/4.7/6.00 64 hands.
I really wanted to fold, but then I remembered that I cannot fold sets. I am not really familiar with his postflop play but I don't think anybody but a donk shoves here with A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Ax or A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Kx Crying call or easy fold? Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ Hero (10 handed) internettexasholdem.com UTG ($825.66) UTG+1 ($374.03) UTG+2 ($607.93) MP1 ($296) MP2 ($273.01) MP3 ($117.40) CO ($405.20) Button ($245.94) SB ($126.29) Hero ($398) Preflop: Hero is BB with 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $2. <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, MP3 calls $4, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to $16</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Hero calls $12, MP3 folds. Flop: ($38) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets $22</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $100</font>, CO calls $367.20 (All-In), Hero calls $282 (All-In). Turn: ($809.20) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 2 all-in)</font> River: ($809.20) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 2 all-in)</font> Final Pot: $809.20 |
#2
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Re: Teach e to fold bottom set
i don't play 2/4 but...
you have to call 282 for a shot at 520 (38+100+382). not great odds against likely hand range for a nit here. i feel like a non-donk nit always has a set or a flush here. against a flush, we're getting a little worse than 2:1 to boat up and we're essentially dead to a higher set. you're basically hoping to catch AAd/AdKx/AdQx/AdJx semi-bluffing. does CO have one of these hands enough of the time to justify calling the allin? i usually still end up sticking it in here knowing i'm generally beat. |
#3
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Re: Teach e to fold bottom set
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
7,920 games 0.062 secs 127,741 games/sec Board: Kd Qd 2d Dead: equity (%) win (%) tie (%) Hand 1: 21.0732 % 19.37% 01.70% { 2h2s } Hand 2: 78.9268 % 77.22% 01.70% { AdAh, AdAs, KK-QQ } hes a nit, so just fold |
#4
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Re: Teach e to fold bottom set
[ QUOTE ]
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt 7,920 games 0.062 secs 127,741 games/sec Board: Kd Qd 2d Dead: equity (%) win (%) tie (%) Hand 1: 21.0732 % 19.37% 01.70% { 2h2s } Hand 2: 78.9268 % 77.22% 01.70% { AdAh, AdAs, KK-QQ } hes a nit, so just fold [/ QUOTE ] If you add the other AA combo and all the AdKx combos our equity jumps to 37%. Couple that with the small sample size for these stats and I think calling is good. |
#5
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Re: Teach e to fold bottom set
can't find a fold here sir
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#6
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Re: Teach e to fold bottom set
I will be VERY surprised if he doesn't have KK here, I think it's a must fold. This is about as easy as it will ever be to muck a set, not saying I ever do it but it does look like a fold.
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#7
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Re: Teach e to fold bottom set
I insta fold. He may have the right Ace and the wrong King but I fold.
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#8
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Re: Teach e to fold bottom set
Yeah, looks like a fold.
CAterp, I am wondering about your "location." Do you make that play a lot? It seems interesting and perhaps better than making a 3.5x raise. It keeps the pot small and puts a little, but not much, pressure on the people behind you who normally would limp in. Now you can easily dump to a raise and save yourself 1.5BB. WOOT! [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] |
#9
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Re: Teach e to fold bottom set
[ QUOTE ]
Yeah, looks like a fold. CAterp, I am wondering about your "location." Do you make that play a lot? It seems interesting and perhaps better than making a 3.5x raise. It keeps the pot small and puts a little, but not much, pressure on the people behind you who normally would limp in. Now you can easily dump to a raise and save yourself 1.5BB. WOOT! [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] nah, only time i ever minraise is when i misclick. you'd be amazed how much pressure one extra BB puts on those suckers acting behind you though. |
#10
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Re: Teach e to fold bottom set
When you know his hand range is AA, KK, QQ, AK and you check-raise the flop you expect to get all your money in. Since this is exactly what you were looking for why fold?
Oops, nasty river. I guess he had A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]K. Well done? |
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