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#1
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10NL - QQ overpair vs passive villain
Villain is very passive, 24/2 and very low AF.
I think this hand is fairly simple, but I the way villain flat called the flop raise really really scared me though the flop is pretty dry. What is our plan on the turn? Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter SB: $45.40 BB: $8.20 Hero (UTG): $10 MP: $9.85 CO: $10 BTN: $13.10 Pre-Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (UTG) <font color="red">Hero raises to $0.50</font>, MP calls $0.50, 2 folds, SB calls $0.45, BB folds Flop: ($1.60) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players) <font color="red">SB bets $0.30</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.70</font>, MP calls $1.70, SB folds Turn: ($5.30) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero... |
#2
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Re: 10NL - QQ overpair vs passive villain
i think MP will have a big hand here unfortunately. I will bet and probably fold to a raise without at least a set. his flop play is pretty standard for someone with a set. I really do not see him raising you if you bet turn with anything but a set however I think he will call you down with top pair so I would bet turn an fold to his raise after some time and colorful language uttered.
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#3
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Re: 10NL - QQ overpair vs passive villain
Exactly my thinking, but if I bet the turn here about $4 it commits me to calling a shove...
Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players LeggoPoker Hand History Converter SB: $45.40 BB: $8.20 Hero (UTG): $10 MP: $9.85 CO: $10 BTN: $13.10 Pre-Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (UTG) <font color="red">Hero raises to $0.50</font>, MP calls $0.50, 2 folds, SB calls $0.45, BB folds Flop: ($1.60) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players) <font color="red">SB bets $0.30</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1.70</font>, MP calls $1.70, SB folds Turn: ($5.30) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $3.30</font>, <font color="red">MP raises to $7.65 and is All-In</font>, Hero... I am getting about 5 to 1 to call.... |
#4
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Re: 10NL - QQ overpair vs passive villain
but do you think he will raise you with any hand you beat? if getting five to one you got to be right 1/6 times and if he never raises with a hand you beat then you are right 0/6 thus meaning you cannot call.
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#5
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Re: 10NL - QQ overpair vs passive villain
[ QUOTE ]
but do you think he will raise you with any hand you beat? if getting five to one you got to be right 1/6 times and if he never raises with a hand you beat then you are right 0/6 thus meaning you cannot call. [/ QUOTE ] I agree - so does this mean that I should not be betting the turn? |
#6
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Re: 10NL - QQ overpair vs passive villain
na keep betting turn cause he will keep calling with a T probably. you just need to differentiate his calling range with his raising range on the turn.
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#7
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Re: 10NL - QQ overpair vs passive villain
If he raises you, you have to fold, given his low aggression.
However, if he flat calls, I probably value bet the river. |
#8
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Re: 10NL - QQ overpair vs passive villain
This sucks....but we have such good odds I think I call and hope for A 10.
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#9
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Re: 10NL - QQ overpair vs passive villain
If you make a reasonable bet on the turn you'll be putting in over half of your stack and basically committing yourself. Thus I would only bet the turn if you're looking to get all in. Stack to pot ratio is almost 6, so you need to decide if you want to move here. I don't like bet folding the turn though. He flat-called a dry board on the flop which tells me he likes his hand. I wouldn't expect him to fold to a turn bet. Again, I'd only bet if I want to put put all the money in. That's me.
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#10
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Re: 10NL - QQ overpair vs passive villain
Ok,
Thanks for the replies... it seems that no-one is 100% sure what to do here.... I think that I think that its going to be hard not to get it AI on the turn here though I think often I will be behind. Results for this hand: I bet the turn, villain shoved, I called and he had JJ --- my QQ held up. However, I think that I was very lucky here.... |
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