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#1
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A noob Q part 2
ok please ignore that this was played poorly, [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com Hero ($102.93) SB ($129.66) BB ($186.81) UTG ($12.50) MP ($49.25) CO ($92.95) Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. UTG calls $1, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $5</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $15</font>, UTG folds, Hero calls $10. Flop: ($31.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $22</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $53</font>, BB calls $149.81 (All-In), Hero folds. Final Pot: $256.31 ok I have him cont betting with 66 of the hands he raised pf, when I raise I have him folding out 32 of those hands so this is the math problem I set up 48% of the time we win +51 when he folds 52% of the time we lose 53, netting an overall loss, correct? |
#2
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Re: A noob Q part 2
your last sentence is a bit confusing from lack of punctuation
we win $53.50 when he folds (48% of the time) we lose $53 when he reraises/calls (52%) overall net loss is correct |
#3
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Re: A noob Q part 2
btw i said reraises/calls since i assumed we are done with the hand after the flop raise
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#4
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Re: A noob Q part 2
[ QUOTE ]
btw i said reraises/calls since i assumed we are done with the hand after the flop raise [/ QUOTE ] yes this is correct. So what is the net loss on the hand? |
#5
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Re: A noob Q part 2
to calculate the EV,
0.48*(+$53.50) + 0.52*(-$53) = $1.88 |
#6
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Re: A noob Q part 2
Most of the times you've raised his contbet it's probably been to a decent size, not a way too low amount like here. So he folds a lot less here. I like the CR bluff but you need to be making proper sized raises & having him folding significantly >50% (and/or contiuning if he doesnt fold)
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