100NL:Line on bottom set

[coordi]

I feel like I might have butchered the turn and river. Villain is 16/8/2.5 and a regular. Pretty good.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG+1 ($130)
Hero ($173)
MP2 ($70.20)
MP3 ($42.65)
CO ($47)
Button ($98.50)
SB ($194.45)
BB ($107)
UTG ($118.90)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1|UTG+1 raises to $4</font>, Hero calls $4, <font color="#666666">6 folds</font>.

Flop: ($9.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG+1|UTG+1 bets $7</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $20</font>, UTG+1|UTG+1 calls $13.

Turn: ($49.50) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG+1|UTG+1 checks, Hero checks.

River: ($49.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG+1|UTG+1 bets $32</font>, Hero calls $32.

Final Pot: $113.50

Basically when he calls my raise I think he has AJ or mabey AQ/AK. Axd of broadway is possible, but I dont want to get him credit for that specific a hand. A larger set is possible but unlikely on the FD board. Should I bet the turn risking pushing him off AK/AJ? Is there value in a river raise since 1010 wouldnt call flop and A10 isnt in his ep range?

[BlueBear]

With all these draws lying around (suited cards, 3-to-a-broadway), I think you need to bet the turn here. Charging the draws should take precedence over controlling the pot here.

I don't think A-J usually folds here, and if he does, you can run him over in the future.

[ranka]

Raising the flop is good but I think your flop raise is too small and give away your hand strength.

And bet the turn, there are too many "scare cards" what killing action on the river or beats you. Protect your hand and try extract so much money as possible.

As played river is fine.

[CalledDownLight]

The turn hurts my eyes. Please bet like $38.

[coordi]

yea i butchered it.

should i raise this river since i didnt bet turn. 1010 and A10 arnt in his range and AQ/AK might make a crying call thinking im bluffing with worse.

[CalledDownLight]

I'm definitely not raising the river as the hand played out.

[mce86]

You have to bet the turn. Big error put you in trouble on very bad river card.