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#1
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Do I fold here? Plo50 6max
Villain is 44/5/3 but I have only 40 hands on him.
PokerStars Pot-Limit Omaha High, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) Button ($69.15) SB ($49.50) Hero ($46.10) UTG ($50) MP ($54.55) CO ($18.80) Preflop: Hero is BB with 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. UTG posts a blind of $0.50. UTG (poster) checks, MP calls $0.50, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Button calls $0.50, SB completes, Hero checks. Flop: ($2.50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font> SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $2.4</font>, UTG folds, MP calls $2.40, Button folds, SB folds. Turn: ($7.30) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $3</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $15.95</font>, Hero [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] Final Pot: $13.30 |
#2
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Re: Do I fold here? Plo50 6max
Ah, uhm, nevermind.
He looks solid. Since I'm in BB he must know, that I might have a straight myself or at least a set. Since he is reraising I guess he has the nut straight possibly with a flush redraw. Good fold. |
#3
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Re: Do I fold here? Plo50 6max
One bit of advice. On the turn either bet hard or dont bet at all. 3 dollar bets into 7 dollar pots will induce raises from good players who sense weakness.
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#4
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Re: Do I fold here? Plo50 6max
Oh, ok thanks. I will try to pay attention to that.
So there is a chance that he (semi) bluffed me out of the pot. I guess I won't know for sure until I play more with him. Thanks again. |
#5
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Re: Do I fold here? Plo50 6max
its 12 to call into a 40 dollar pot (after the call), i d call for sure.
edited.. |
#6
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Re: Do I fold here? Plo50 6max
A) Its a 13 dollar call, well $12.95.
B) its a 13 dollar call on a pot of 26 dollars. Hero is not winning 33% of the time unless his flush draw is good. If his flush draw is not good, hero is likely to lose the rest of his stack. |
#7
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Re: Do I fold here? Plo50 6max
we have 9 outs if the flush draw is not good, thats 20% already unless opponents has kkxx. we have 8 additional outs if the flush draw is good, 17 if it is good 37% or something, if villain has a (semi)bluff here ever i think we have to call. we might have 3 outs for a split pot too.
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#8
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Re: Do I fold here? Plo50 6max
[ QUOTE ]
A) If his flush draw is not good, hero is likely to lose the rest of his stack. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah I was afraid of the higher flush. Let's say I call. What are my options on the river? A. I fill up. I think in that case the pot is mine, but I don't think he would pay off a PSB... B. The river is a blank. I c/f. C. The river is spade. Well, I guess I c/f. D. The river is a heart. I bet out and fold for a raise [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] All in all it looks that I should probably c/f or bet properly and fold much easier if reraised... I'm I right here? |
#9
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Re: Do I fold here? Plo50 6max
You're right. edit: you'd be if pot would be 40$ [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
if he only has the straight: board: 6s3hKh5s Ac6d6h2h 42.50% 8s7d4c5h 57.50% if he has the heart redraw: board: 6s3hKh5s Ac6d6h2h 22.50% 8h7d4s5h 77.50% |
#10
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Re: Do I fold here? Plo50 6max
[ QUOTE ]
One bit of advice. On the turn either bet hard or dont bet at all. 3 dollar bets into 7 dollar pots will induce raises from good players who sense weakness. [/ QUOTE ] But many players are not good :P You are also assuming that the other player has a good read on the OP and is willing to put a lot of chips in the middle with a losing hand simply because he 'smelled' weakness. If the villain is a good player, he also would know that many players cannot fold a set in this situation and he would be throwing money away without a straight or top set. I would fold on the turn without a better read. It smells like a wrap hit his straight. |
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