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#1
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This is my first hand to ever post! So, I'll start off by saying thank you so much for all that has bene put in to these forums =). OMW to being a real student, so forgive me if I did anything wrong.
No real reads on Villain. I saw him chatting with another regular as if they hadn't seen eachother in a bit, but that's all. I also only have 90 hands on him. His stats for those 90 hands are as follows: VP$IP: 27.9% PFR: 1.2% (??? not sure wth) AT: 3.3% (higher than his pfr? I'm really confused at this point) Cbet: 100% I'm 4tabling (yes I'm newb), which is mainly what I attribute to not having any real feel for this guy. Full Tilt Poker, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players LegoPoker Hand History Converter BB: $32.25 UTG: $42.15 UTG+1: $60.15 UTG+2: $5 Hero (MP1): $33.55 MP2: $6.70 CO: $11.45 BTN: $31.40 SB: $5.10 Pre-Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (MP1) UTG calls $0.25, 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1</font>, 5 folds, UTG calls $0.75 Flop: ($2.35) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">UTG bets $10.25</font>, Hero folds My thoughts on the hand, please please correct my lines of thinking if I am wrong, are that if I'm beat, we're definitely stacking off turn or river with the way he is betting the flop, or if I raise flop he's folding or I'm faced with a tougher decision when he reraises. All of this for 2 bucks or so that is in the pot. Granted I'm probably ahead of his range the majority of the time, but I dunno. I'm obviously confused a bit about the player's stats, his big raise. Part of me thinks I gave him way too much credit and played super weak. The other part thinks I made an ok fold and can justify it by finding another spot where I am more of a clear favorite. (ew sounds a bit too much like tourney thinking and not cash) Help, any advice at all is greatly appreciated. thanks! |
#2
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Something else to consider.. "what my opponent thinks I have", I'm playing 14/7.8/2.9 at this table for about 100 hands.
Which is part of what makes me think he put me on broadway type cards and was praying I missed. On the other hand he might know I have a big PP and thinks I'll stack off. |
#3
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What a gross situation to be in. Have you seen villain make this type of bet before? It looks to me like a medium PP trying to figure out if you've got a high pair or AK. I might be wrong, but I'd call here and shove river if checked to. If he had 77/33 he certainly would've checked to snap off a cbet from AK/AQ and build a bigger pot. It makes no sense for him to make this huge donk bet and chase off hands that'll give him a bet or two.
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#4
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raise 5xBB preflop
call flop, play passivly and let him bet more. these overbets are usually bluffs or PP. |
#5
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Tough spot. He could very well have a lone 7, or something like A,3 and uber-donk-protecting it from the flush draw. I dont think I like playing for stacks here.. with no reads, I'm folding most of the time. If he's making ridiculous bets like this continuously, you'll bust him on another hand.
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#6
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I guess folding canīt be wrong considering that we only invested 1$ and are going to play for 33.. I think Villain is afraid of the flush draw.
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#7
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odd behaviour. u could call, but that pretty much commits you. I don't see this being the play with 77/33 tho, so i think are likely ahead.
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#8
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[ QUOTE ]
It looks to me like a medium PP trying to figure out if you've got a high pair or AK. I might be wrong, but I'd call here and shove river if checked to. [/ QUOTE ] Who bets 5 x's the pot just to define an opponents hand? This doesn't look like villain is fishing for information at all. I'm not saying that it couldn't be a med. pp, but if it is, this is a bluff. This is a pretty difficult situation to put the opponent on a hand. Considering villain's preflop numbers, I know it's a small sample size, it could be AA or KK and a planned play. It could be a poorly played AXc. Maybe A3. Maybe an AK/AQ/AJ bluff. Maybe 77. How can you know? Only you would know whether or not you have a rep. at the table of laying hands down too easily or if you have a tendency to call just about anything (your numbers don't support this). I think you have to fold, if you're not 75 percent sure that this is a bluff. I would assign this maybe a 20% chance of a bluff, twice as high as the regular 10% I assign bluff chances, b/c the only evidence I have of this villain being a complete donk is the wild flop bet. That's not enough. My guess would be AA or KK, planned move. |
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