[nl50] Good spot to 3barrel?

[Sorcerer808]

Villain def seems competent. He's running 20/12/1.5 this session. I know PF is kinda loose and after looking at it, I think I need to bet more if I bet this river. Anyways, what do you think?

Party Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

SB: $53.61
BB: $51.75
UTG: $71.50
Hero (MP): $52.97
CO: $99.72
BTN: $44.96

Pre-Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (MP)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2</font>, CO calls $2, BTN folds, SB calls $1.75, BB folds

Flop: ($6.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $4</font>, CO calls $4, SB folds

Turn: ($14.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $10</font>, CO calls $10

River: ($34.50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $20.50</font>

[akak]

Yah, I'm putting him on a pp here, and he's figuring you are just betting the king scare card. You might need to bet more to get his TTish holdings to fold.

[Logun]

The King is a good scare card to bluff at however if he makes it past the turn he will most likely call you down with any PP.

You only get a FD to fold this river.

[fursza01]

I see the posibility of PP here but I dont think he is getting rid of it for $20 on the river.

[FishNChips]

This is as good a spot as any, but if you're going to do it, do it. More on turn, more on river.

[Aceium]

I don't think he's going to fold to a 6 on the river if he wasn't folding to a K on the turn, especially when he'll bet getting about 2.5 to 1. He could have 2 spades but that's the only hand I see him folding here.

[creamfillin]

I don't think he folds much after he calls the turn. I doubt he's folding a Kx or even TT to this half pottish bet on the river. If he had a spade draw's he's likely to check behind. If I bet I'd make it more like 28. I think you're getting carried away just because he has tag-ish stats. I find plenty of these player with stats like that who are terrible and have no problem calling down with 55.

[Baintz]

Yeah, you said it. If you are bluffing river it needs to be more as they are calling with a lot of what they called on the turn with. Only hand you really fold out is a flush draw

[TheChad]

the third gun shows that you really aren't worried about the k and put him on a pp or draw. I DEF bet more on this river (no less than $25, prob more like $30-35). He might even fold his crabs!

[wingchunflush]

I see him looking you up very often here.