400nl - Boring Turn Spot

[too eazy]

Villain in the hand is Marccus85, he's very afraid of me and I make him sad on a regular basis. He's been playing me particularly aggressive this session and I suspect he may be on tilt.

Regardless, I'm fairly certain that with his line here he either has a flush, 33, AsXx (likely a pair) or total air. With his range being so polarized, what do you think the best course of action is here? If you choose to flat call the turn what is your river plan if checked to or if bet into.

I know it's a little boring but I think it's a spot worthy of some discussion.

Poker Stars, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

BTN: $376
SB: $287.45
BB: $430.60
Hero (UTG): $406.10
UTG+1: $138.20
UTG+2: $377
MP1: $184.80
MP2: $243
CO: $553.20

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (UTG)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $16</font>, 2 folds, MP1 calls $16, 4 folds, BB calls $12

Flop: ($50) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $36</font>, MP1 folds, BB calls $36

Turn: ($122) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $75</font>

Results: $122 Pot ($122 Rake)

[Mike Kelley]

Call - Call - Lead is a weak line and usually a bluff.

Does he have reason to believe you would check behind here?

[CalledDownLight]

I'd fold here. You're pretty smoked and if your Ks isn't good then you're really [censored] when he leads the river spade and you call or he c/r you on the river after you bet.

[AceHigh]

[ QUOTE ]
Call - Call - Lead is a weak line and usually a bluff.

[/ QUOTE ]

You don't think he could have a flush here?

Seems like a logical line for a draw to me.

[Mike Kelley]

Why not go for the check raise if villain is really strong?

That's why I asked if villain had reason to believe Too Eazy would check behind?

[Renton]

if he's on tilt i'd probably make a call.

[Mike Kelley]

[ QUOTE ]
if he's on tilt i'd probably make a call.

[/ QUOTE ]

Renton,

Would you fold to a river shove on a blank card?

[AceHigh]

A small flush would have to bet the turn wouldn't he? He wouldn't want to give a free card to a hand with like AsJc or whatever.

[Mike Kelley]

[ QUOTE ]
A small flush would have to bet the turn wouldn't he? He wouldn't want to give a free card to a hand with like AsJc or whatever.

[/ QUOTE ]

I can't comment on this since too easy didn't include villains stats or any reads other than his name and I've never played with him.

[GrandMelon]

Based on your read Im calling here and probably folding to a river bet