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#1
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A4 in BB (Live)
Live tournament at local club.
buy-in: $470 Entries: 18 start stack: 10k Prices: 1: $3800 2: $2300 3: $1500 7 players left and avg stack is 25.7k. I (BB) have 27k and Villian (Button) is the shortstack with 7k. The other players have 15-35k. blinds: 400/800, 50 ante Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4 folds, Villian pushes for 7k, SB folds, Hero..? Do you make this call? I think Villians range is very wide here and that I probably have about ~50% vs it so a call is obv +chipEV. However, Villian is a dangereous opponent that I dont want to double up, but on the other hand it would be great to eliminate him. Another aspect is that if I fold I have more than avarage but if I call and lose I go down to 20k. The hurt of losing 7k is obv much bigger for me than the good things about increasing by about the same amount. Also, I almost never have more than 60% even if I am a favourite. If you think I am off in my reasoning above plz eloborate in what way. |
#2
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Re: A4 in BB (Live)
I fold in this spot.
1. Villian's M is 5 so he his looking for a spot to push, however, he can look at 6 more hands before he has to really get serious about shoving. 2. You are about 55% to win against a random hand, but villian is saying he has a better than random hand. 3. With and M 0f 17, I would have to have A8 or better to make this call. IMHO |
#3
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Re: A4 in BB (Live)
I call. You are putting in 42% of the money and you are 53% against a top 40% hand.
Incidently, you are 60% against a random hand, unlike what the other poster said. You are gamble a portion of your stack, but you can afford it. I wouldn't mind knocking out a good player and getting closer to the money. |
#4
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Re: A4 in BB (Live)
or something in between..
equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 56.730% 54.73% 02.00% 13776739008 502613718.00 { A4o } Hand 1: 43.270% 41.27% 02.00% 10388902356 502613718.00 { random } |
#5
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Re: A4 in BB (Live)
I did it for A8 rather than A4. A4 is closer.
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#6
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Re: A4 in BB (Live)
Any more opinions?
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#7
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Re: A4 in BB (Live)
I can see villain making this play with a sufficient % of his hands in order to make this call, but it's close and if you feel like you can play well against the players to your left, I think you can find a fold. Also, is it possible that somebody else does the dirty work for you here?
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