NLTRN variance

[ratone]

I am a NL100~200 6max regular, and also played some NL100 HU, but HUcash is such a sick variance and sometimes tilts me easily, so, yesterday i decided try some HUSNGs.
I played 50 $55+2.5 HUSNGs and won 55%. But today I played like 21 and won only 5!!! I was obviously running bad, but is that a standard variance or I am probably doing something VERY wrong? Also i should probably drop to 33+1.5 to learn how to play it properly before playing the 55's right?

thx

[chrismystero]

your sample size of two days and like 30 games or wutever u played is way way too small. if you feel uncomfortable at the 55s there is no question u should drop to the 33s.

Also, if your really thinking you need to learn how to "play properly" I suggest posting a lot of hands, reading a lot on the forums, and dedicate some learning time away from the tables. That, and, if you're actually still feeling like you have lots to learn, maybe u should do something even lower than the 33s.

gl regardless.

chrismystero

[ratone]

I know my sample size is way way too small. I just wanted to know if, for a decent player, this loosing streak is standard or something rare.

My bankroll is at about 6k, so i dont think there is no need to play lower than 33s, right?

ty [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[hra146]

well, all I can say is that "the odds are" that you arent much of a winner at the 55s. 15 BI loss on the second day COULD be variance but yeah... the odds are.


other than that : sticky + search function

[Revolvermann]

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showfl...=0#Post10979789

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showfl...=0#Post10969932

both from the sticky thread!!

[ChicagoRy]

Nobody has mentioned tilt. It's just as likely IMO that he is an average player and possibly small winner that tilted off a lot of buyins because he wasn't winning right away in a new game rather than a bad player that just can't win.

I'm really surprised nobody mentioned tilt bc OP mentioned it in the second line of his post.

Don't tilt, play some 33s and don't bluff 95% of your opponents. Value bet your good hands, learn to give up if you semi-bluff decent draws against weak-tight players and think through your decisions. Don't get discouraged if you get it in ahead and lose, it'll happen a lot.

You'll be a winner in the 33s if you follow that advice, guaranteed.

[xSCWx]

^^ good advice.

I find that most of the people I've tried to help out with NLTRN take a while to realize they need to stop and think about their hands instead of just smashing bet/raise/call.

Probably the best advice I can give you is to slow down and think about what is going on.