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#1
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5/10nl - flopped set, villain shoves river HU
Villain was playing 26.76/21.08/4.38 over 370 hands when it was 6 handed. He was playing pretty standard and didn't see much out of line. It just got heads up (short stack just sat down and hasn't been a factor) and this is the second big pot, the first one I had a suited connector, called a flop with second pair, turned trips and raised and he folded.
We haven't been playing heads up long. My thoughts on the river are that he probably can't be bluffing here unless he had a hand like flopped 2pair or missed with QJ or something and is trying to represent the straight. 78 is possible but not likely given the line and even though I don't think he can be bluffing, I don't see many 8's hanging around till river here with the exception of maybe T8 or J8, I don't think he calls the turn raise with 98. Full Tilt Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $10 BB (3 handed) SB ($365) BB ($1890.25) Hero ($2016) Preflop: Hero is Button with 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $35</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls $25. Flop: ($75) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $60</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $150</font>, Hero calls $90. Turn: ($375) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $290</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $775</font>, BB calls $485. River: ($1925) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $930.25 (All-In)</font> |
#2
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Re: 5/10nl - flopped set, villain shoves river HU
raise flop, or jam turn...i don't like our gay raise
river is an easy fold. He would'n be waiting river to donk push his T9, so the only hand u beat is QJo, which is unlikely. |
#3
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Re: 5/10nl - flopped set, villain shoves river HU
I also bet turn larger, 975.
Besides T8/J8, 9c8c and Ac8c seem possible. |
#4
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Re: 5/10nl - flopped set, villain shoves river HU
yeah most of the time i would 3bet this flop, sometimes just calling as you did. And i would raise more on the turn,
The river sucks cause ur getting such good odds, like 3-1 almost, but villainhas to know this and he has to know that an eight is certainly in ur range here. I think this would make me fold |
#5
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Re: 5/10nl - flopped set, villain shoves river HU
[ QUOTE ]
raise flop, or jam turn...i don't like our gay raise river is an easy fold. He would'n be waiting river to donk push his T9, so the only hand u beat is QJo, which is unlikely. [/ QUOTE ] I agree, meant to raise turn more, esp. 200bb deep. But to clarify, I don't think he is donk shoving river with a hand like 9T for value, I think his range may consist of a hand similar to that where he may now shove river as a bluff with that type of hand. I'm not sure this villain is capable of that move but that is what I meant. |
#6
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Re: 5/10nl - flopped set, villain shoves river HU
You got a set, the board's drawy, he shows lots of aggression, just get it in on the turn at the latest.
The river's an easy fold as played. |
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