set on 4straight board vs whale

[tozzy]

Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $3/$6 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

Hero (SB): $747.00
BB: $591.00
UTG: $256.00
CO: $992.60
BTN: $1,344.10

Reads: <font color="blue">Villain is a pretty massive donk at 52/30/3 over some 100 hands. Hes not folding once hes hit postflop but hes not playing wild.</font>

Preflop: Hero is dealt 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (5 Players)
2 folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $21.00</font>, Hero calls $18.00, BB folds

Flop: ($48) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $44.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $112.00</font>, BTN calls $68.00

Turn: ($272) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $209.00</font>, BTN calls $209.00

River: ($690) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $333.00</font>, Hero pukes and?

[FionnMac]

i call here and don't feel bad about it (and i'm a nit).

[tozzy]

oh, additional info: i 3bet him like twice in the last 3 orbits with AK and won the pots without showing (he called each time, tho). thats why i didnt defend pf + take that into consideration.

[Praetor]

shoveshoveshove river

[allosaur]

I'd have put in a defensive bet on the end. If he raises you then you're probably toast.

As played, it's down to three hands 1) he's either bluffing, which isn't likely (has some piece of the board); 2) has the straight (TJ or QT fit into the pattern; or 3) 2pr is a possibility (QJ) and I believe he would value bet that on the river since it looks like a perfect opportunity to bluff with 4 to a straight and what may look like a missed flush draw to you and he hopes to get paid off by a Q.

Checking the river puts you in such a difficult position. But as played, I would call because it's such a good spot to bluff and you beat just about everything except the straight.

[Jay Riall]

Bet the river and your flop raise size is gross.

[FionnMac]

[ QUOTE ]
Bet the river and your flop raise size is gross.

[/ QUOTE ]

wow qft i didn't even notice this! tozzy are you using some kind of script cos your bet sizes have been a little dodgy in a couple of your threads recently.

[tozzy]

yeah, fwiw i think i misklicked my betpotscript, i didnt check it but i guess my intention was to bet pot whereas i clicked the raise to 2,5x or smth.

[AAismyfriend]

I call since I'm a station and diamonds missed, but I'd often just stick it in myself here for value and hope he calls with 2 pr.

[FionnMac]

[ QUOTE ]
I call since I'm a station and diamonds missed, but I'd often just stick it in myself here for value and hope he calls with 2 pr.

[/ QUOTE ]

yeh didn't think of that, shove river, he calls unless he has diamonds.