NL50 - Flopped Pair on dry board lol! But what villain, no?

[Jever]

So. Villain was like 15/4 over 150 hands. AF 3.0 or something.
Villain shoves AK easily rite?

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 4 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $24.55
Hero (BB): $113.30
UTG: $67.90
BTN: $72.85

Preflop: Hero is dealt 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $1.75</font>, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.25

Flop: ($3.75) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, UTG checks

Turn: ($3.75) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $3.50</font>, <font color="red">UTG raises to $7.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $18.50</font>, <font color="red">UTG raises all-in to $66.15</font>, Hero ???

I know: "If you dont call here, you are a fish!"
Amirtite?

[Jever]

*bump*
I know the title is spew... so whatever
What do you think about the hand? Easy call vs. 15/4, 4minutes-on-the-flop-thinking TAG?

[BetweenTheLines]

I think it's a call,too much money to fold.I would bet the flop to build a big pot if he has a king,especially AK.

[wslee00]

i'm felting this - if he has KK that's just a cooler

[VLV]

Well the only hand that beats you at the moment is KK, which I think villain would be on the flop with. Given his stats I think we could assign him a very narrow range of 33, 55, AK, KK, AA or MAYBE K9s.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 87.313% 87.31% 00.00% 25932 0.00 { 9d9h }
Hand 1: 12.687% 12.69% 00.00% 3768 0.00 { KK+, 55, 33, AKs, K9s, AKo }

Wouldn't even think about it.

Edit: Just realised its impossible for him to have K9s, doesn't make much difference though.

[clowntable]

Never ever fold second set on a dry board with these stacks. If you don't snap call this why do you even play PPs?
I'm also snap calling if I had 55 here

[Jever]

I really think 33 or 55 is WAY to wide for a range, sorry.

To the other two: Yes, i was thinking bout b/3betting it, but this fella seemed kind of passive, so I went for checkrasie... coz I thought, he would cbet any 4% hand he would have, wouldnt he?

[clowntable]

AdKd, 33, 55 are all in the UTG opening range.
KdQd could be in it as well and be played like this
I think he might not play other AK like this but then again he might
-&gt; felt all day
I think B3B would be marginally better than check/raise if you think he's passive.
He might fold AK (which is the hand you hope for apart from another set but that plays itself) to a CR but if he is passive he'll call the bet and likely bet to protect his hand on any card that puts two to a flush out there (even though it's very unlikely you have the flush there most passive villains really fear flushes). In any case he'll not fold the AK to a bet so you get money in either way and the bigger the pot gets the more committed he'll feel.
If there would be a two flush on the flop I'd go for the CR because he could put you on a draw. C/R on a dry board like this usually rings set alarm bells unless you have been bullying him a bunch before this hand.

[Jever]

No, wait... [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
He had a pretty high AF: 3.
He checked the flop after waiting like 30 secs... then all the whole turn action came...

Im really not quite good in hand reading. But this time I put him on a hand... Do you?

[Jever]

[ QUOTE ]
AdKd, 33, 55 are all in the UTG opening range.
KdQd could be in it as well and be played like this
I think he might not play other AK like this but then again he might
-&gt; felt all day
I think B3B would be marginally better than check/raise if you think he's passive.
He might fold AK (which is the hand you hope for apart from another set but that plays itself) to a CR but if he is passive he'll call the bet and likely bet to protect his hand on any card that puts two to a flush out there (even though it's very unlikely you have the flush there most passive villains really fear flushes). In any case he'll not fold the AK to a bet so you get money in either way and the bigger the pot gets the more committed he'll feel.
If there would be a two flush on the flop I'd go for the CR because he could put you on a draw. C/R on a dry board like this usually rings set alarm bells unless you have been bullying him a bunch before this hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

True. He is rather aggressive. AF 3.0 with VPIP 14.
I wasnt right in some of my posts earlier.
So what now?