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#1
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Sorry for not posting in FR but I figured more people here had experience playing against him
3/6 9 handed on Stars, effective stacks $600 I have really no history with him other than the short time I played 1/2 6 max with him but I doubt he remembers that. He just sat down about an orbit ago and hasnt really done much. Folded to me on the button with ATo and I raise to 24, SB folds and Leatherass calls in the BB. Flop T 7 3 rainbow (Pot $51) He donks into me for 36, I call (pretty standard yes?) Turn A completing the rainbow (Pot $123) He again donks into me for 90, I call again(?) River J (Pot $303) Leatherass shoves, I fold [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] Thoughts? |
#2
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no brainer CALL
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#3
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i like the fold, this is a set some absurd % of the time
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#4
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[ QUOTE ]
i like the fold, this is a set some absurd % of the time [/ QUOTE ] |
#5
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If I did the math right, his river bet is $450, that means you have to be good 60% of the time. I don't know.. after you call the turn he's gotta figure you're either beating Ax or on draw, and when he shoves the river straight card I don't think he's bluffing more than 40%. I think his range here like 50% 98, 20% set, 20% AT/JT or worse made hand, 10% bluff. Good fold.
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#6
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[ QUOTE ]
If I did the math right, his river bet is $450, that means you have to be good 60% of the time. I don't know.. after you call the turn he's gotta figure you're either beating Ax or on draw, and when he shoves the river straight card I don't think he's bluffing more than 40%. I think his range here like 50% 98, 20% set, 20% AT/JT or worse made hand, 10% bluff. Good fold. [/ QUOTE ] 60%? You never need to be right more than 50% of the time to call a riverbet. |
#7
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its 37.5% I think here. I think fold is good, no idea who villain is though.
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#8
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I think this is a set almost always.
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#9
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I don't have any experience playing with him, but from what I've read I take it he's fairly tight and very solid?
I think best case scenario you're splitting here, with a good chance of a set or a straight. A fold is probably best. |
#10
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Can we fold turn?
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