400NL: Turning a hand with SD value into a bluff, part 1.

[Mr_Donktastic]

Villain is 24/12/3 over 200 hands, cbets 80% of the time, overall pretty aggro.

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $2/$4 Blinds - 7 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $1,091.40
BB: $400.00
UTG: $575.90
UTG+1: $394.80
MP: $456.20
Hero (CO): $508.70
BTN: $122.00

Preflop: Hero is dealt T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (7 Players)
2 folds, <font color="red">MP raises to $16.00</font>, Hero calls $16.00, 3 folds

Flop: ($38) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">MP bets $24.00</font>, Hero calls $24.00

Turn: ($86) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">MP bets $32.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $96.00</font>

[GrandMelon]

meh, I wouldnt try this against a decent hand reader cause you are repping air/draws

[Mr_Donktastic]

[ QUOTE ]
meh, I wouldnt try this against a decent hand reader cause you are repping air/draws

[/ QUOTE ]

So you'd just call? Plan for river?

I know I'm not repping much but he is repping nothing with his girly-man bet so....

[uminchu]

is calling an option or do you not want to let him price himself in for his overcards with the weak bet?

[Mr_Donktastic]

[ QUOTE ]
is calling an option or do you not want to let him price himself in for his overcards with the weak bet?

[/ QUOTE ]

Calling is def and option. Folding would be criminal imo.

[4Clover]

I like just calling here, your hand still has show down value. Controlling the pot is important, and with your position you will more then likely get a check from him with QJ and below on the river. Allowing you to win the pot when your 10's are good, and not losing a large amount of money if your 10's are no good.

Again raising here is not bad either, as long as you don't face any more heat.

$Clover

[Mr_Donktastic]

So this is what I'm thinking...

I think he most likely has overcards, 44-99, or a FD based on his small turn bet. In other words I think I'm almost always ahead (though vulnerable to some of his range).

I don't know why a J would bet small like that on the turn unless it was a weak J that wanted to test the waters. So a strong J is unlikely imo, a weak J a possibility.

If you take my read on his range as a given, that means that I should raise both as a bluff and to protect my hand at the same time...weird huh?

Anyone picking up what I'm putting down [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]