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#1
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Value bet here? 10nl
Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.05/$0.10 Blinds - 9 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)
SB: $12.30 Hero (BB): $13.55 UTG: $4.05 UTG+1: $11.85 MP1: $3.50 MP2: $5.40 MP3: $28.10 CO: $11.00 BTN: $4.70 Preflop: Hero is dealt A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (9 Players) 5 folds, CO calls $0.10, BTN folds, SB calls $0.05, <font color="red">Hero raises to $0.50</font>, CO calls $0.40, SB folds Flop: ($1.10) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $0.60</font>, <font color="red">CO raises to $1.50</font>, Hero calls $0.90 Turn: ($4.10) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero checks, <font color="red">CO bets $2.00</font>, Hero calls $2.00 River: ($8.10) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) Hero ???? Villain running at 37/0/3 over only 21 hands. I do have trips, however I feel there is a reasonable chance I'm up against a set. Is checking here awful, or a reasonable move? |
#2
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Re: Value bet here? 10nl
chek and call. I think he might also have an ace, maybe a flush draw that missed. He will bet the river with hands he won't call with.
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#3
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Re: Value bet here? 10nl
Those stats are from a very small sample. But my guess is that he could also have an ace and you might have a better kicker, which leads me to think that he could already have a full, unless of course he had a set and made it that way.
Since villain has about a pot-sized stack left and has shown strength, I think you will probably get to play for stacks regardless if you bet or check. If you check he might only bet $4-5 though and I'm not folding. If he was raising the flop with a draw he probably missed so if you check he might bet with a weaker hand, since you checked the turn. |
#4
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Re: Value bet here? 10nl
I dont think you're up against a busted draw, but I'd c/call the river anyway.
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#5
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Re: Value bet here? 10nl
If you're not folding to a push here I would bet this river.
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#6
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Re: Value bet here? 10nl
Villain's combination of bets on flop and turn seem to me like AhXh (tried to build pot on flop for flush draw and bet half pot to push you off weaker checked hand on turn). I'd bet 2/3 pot on river and fold to raise.
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#7
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Re: Value bet here? 10nl
So you'd bet 5.50 and fold for 2.50 more?
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#8
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Re: Value bet here? 10nl
Thanks for the feedback folks.
I'm trying to work on my value betting, as it seems to be the best way to punish poor play at these limits. The part I struggled with is that I feel I should be decided if I am ahead or behind. If the answer is ahead I should be betting, or the answer is behind I should be folding. I don't know in what situations check / calling down is right. Seems general consensus is that check / calling is the right thing here, although a small bet is good option as well. I suppose the EV lines run fairly close. Results in white below. <font color="white"> Hero checks, Villain checks behind, Villain shows KQo no heart????? </font> |
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