2/4 Bluffing a nit off an overpair

[AAismyfriend]

Villain has been playing very snug....like 16/12 over a smallish sample. I've been playing sort of LAGy but haven't shown down any bluffs really. He's UTG so that makes his range quite narrow I would think. How good is this bluff here?


Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $2/$4 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $986.30
BB: $358.90
UTG: $470.00
CO: $154.00
Hero (BTN): $1,048.40

Preflop: Hero is dealt 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $14.00</font>, CO folds, Hero calls $14.00, SB calls $12.00, BB calls $10.00

Flop: ($56) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="red">UTG bets $45.00</font>, Hero calls $45.00, 2 folds

Turn: ($146) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $110.00</font>, UTG calls $110.00

River: ($366) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $334.00</font>

[Teh1337zor]

yeah this looks fine

[Triumph36]

man that flop call is really not great with 2 left to act, but now that you've done it, the rest looks good

[AAismyfriend]

anyone else?

[HEK]

yeah don't bluff nits off of overpairs. They sit around waiting for hands to play to bust the 'crazy' tags with. They don't fold them. I like this play if villian is like 23/17 or w/e.

[aislephive]

I like this actually, I think villain folds an overpair easily and a set as well here.

[Big_Jim]

That flop call looks pretty bad.

Turn and river seem fine, and your bet sizing is good.

[ipokeder]

wtf at flop call looking "pretty bad"? this is like a perfect board to call in position w/ a marginal draw, cuz it's going to be v easy to represent lots of hands you don't have if you miss

raising the flop just seems crappy unless we have a *STRONG* read that UTG and UTG+1 are folding all but sets to a raise (or nfd), which is an extremely liberal and probably pretty bad assumption.