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#1
08-27-2007, 03:52 AM
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NCAA Season Props
brought to you by the good folks at Bodog (damn $100 max)
BEST BET: Andy Brodell (Iowa) over 550 yards receiving -120 bet 1.2u to win 1u Tim Tebow (Florida) under 600 total rushing yards -120 bet 1.2u to win 1u Antone Smith (FSU) over 750 total rushing yards -130 bet 1.3u to win 1u Mario Manningham (Michigan) under 950 total receiving yards -110 bet 1.1u to win 1u Anthony Morelli (Penn St) over 2150 total passing yards -130 bet 1.3u to win 1u Matt Ryan (Boston College) over 2500 passing yards -120 bet 1.2u to win 1u Darren McFadden (Arkansas) under 1750 total rushing yards -125 bet 1.25u to win 1u Colt Brennan (Hawai'i) over 48 total passing touchdowns -120 bet 1.2u to win 1u 
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#2
08-27-2007, 08:25 AM
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Re: NCAA Season Props
these look good
what about mario manningham under 13 touchdowns? is there any reason you only hit one of his props? he had 9 TD's last season. the only iffy one to me was colt brennan. brennan had 58 TD's last year in two more games than the 12 hawaii is scheduled for this year... so you are betting on him increasing his torrid pace from last season.
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#3
08-27-2007, 08:58 AM
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Re: NCAA Season Props
[ QUOTE ]
these look good what about mario manningham under 13 touchdowns? is there any reason you only hit one of his props? he had 9 TD's last season. the only iffy one to me was colt brennan. brennan had 58 TD's last year in two more games than the 12 hawaii is scheduled for this year... so you are betting on him increasing his torrid pace from last season. [/ QUOTE ] IIRC he played like 3/4 the actual snaps last season. Sat a lot in 2nd halves.
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#4
08-27-2007, 05:16 PM
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Re: NCAA Season Props
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] these look good what about mario manningham under 13 touchdowns? is there any reason you only hit one of his props? he had 9 TD's last season. the only iffy one to me was colt brennan. brennan had 58 TD's last year in two more games than the 12 hawaii is scheduled for this year... so you are betting on him increasing his torrid pace from last season. [/ QUOTE ] IIRC he played like 3/4 the actual snaps last season. Sat a lot in 2nd halves. [/ QUOTE ] yeah...I'm aware of that as well as Adrian Arrington's problems. The thing is that Michigan under Carr has always spread the ball around and I cannot imagine that not being the case this year with Hart, Grady, and Minor in the backfield and the other top receivers Michigan has on their roster. Also, Manningham had an excessive number of deep bomb catches last year early as defenses didn't key on him. In addition, I don't expect the Michigan offense to get quite the boost that other teams will get in number of plays this year. They were extremely lucky in +/- last year and that rarely holds from one year to the next.
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#5
08-28-2007, 12:13 AM
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Re: NCAA Season Props
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] these look good what about mario manningham under 13 touchdowns? is there any reason you only hit one of his props? he had 9 TD's last season. the only iffy one to me was colt brennan. brennan had 58 TD's last year in two more games than the 12 hawaii is scheduled for this year... so you are betting on him increasing his torrid pace from last season. [/ QUOTE ] IIRC he played like 3/4 the actual snaps last season. Sat a lot in 2nd halves. [/ QUOTE ] yeah...I'm aware of that as well as Adrian Arrington's problems. The thing is that Michigan under Carr has always spread the ball around and I cannot imagine that not being the case this year with Hart, Grady, and Minor in the backfield and the other top receivers Michigan has on their roster. Also, Manningham had an excessive number of deep bomb catches last year early as defenses didn't key on him. In addition, I don't expect the Michigan offense to get quite the boost that other teams will get in number of plays this year. They were extremely lucky in +/- last year and that rarely holds from one year to the next. [/ QUOTE ] ha I meant it for brennan but I guess it applied to both.
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#6
08-27-2007, 10:46 AM
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Re: NCAA Season Props
[ QUOTE ]
the only iffy one to me was colt brennan. brennan had 58 TD's last year in two more games than the 12 hawaii is scheduled for this year... so you are betting on him increasing his torrid pace from last season. [/ QUOTE ] They play two absolute cupcakes for the first two games. He could have thirty after week 2.
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#7
08-27-2007, 11:14 AM
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Re: NCAA Season Props
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] the only iffy one to me was colt brennan. brennan had 58 TD's last year in two more games than the 12 hawaii is scheduled for this year... so you are betting on him increasing his torrid pace from last season. [/ QUOTE ] They play two absolute cupcakes for the first two games. He could have thirty after week 2. [/ QUOTE ] Scoring is up.
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#8
08-27-2007, 11:30 AM
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Re: NCAA Season Props
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] the only iffy one to me was colt brennan. brennan had 58 TD's last year in two more games than the 12 hawaii is scheduled for this year... so you are betting on him increasing his torrid pace from last season. [/ QUOTE ] They play two absolute cupcakes for the first two games. He could have thirty after week 2. [/ QUOTE ] Scoring is up. [/ QUOTE ]
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#9
08-27-2007, 04:48 PM
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Re: NCAA Season Props
[ QUOTE ]
these look good what about mario manningham under 13 touchdowns? is there any reason you only hit one of his props? he had 9 TD's last season. the only iffy one to me was colt brennan. brennan had 58 TD's last year in two more games than the 12 hawaii is scheduled for this year... so you are betting on him increasing his torrid pace from last season. [/ QUOTE ] Hawai'i plays a much weaker regular season schedule this year @ Alabama, v Purdue, and v Oregon St replaced by v Washington and two 1-AA squads There should be about 11% more plays this year than last year across the board. Hawai'i's games should have even more of an increase due to the stoppages on numerous changes of possession and better field position after kickoffs. with Manningham, either bet is good. I just didn't want to do both and I see more predictability in yardage output compared to TDs.
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#10
08-27-2007, 11:08 AM
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Re: NCAA Season Props
[ QUOTE ]
BEST BET: Andy Brodell (Iowa) over 550 yards receiving -120 bet 1.2u to win 1u [/ QUOTE ] I love this bet. Brodell had 724 yards receiving last year on only 39 receptions. With Douglas getting busted for credit card fraud, Brodell is the #1 guy and should have much more than 39 receptions this year. With his speed, he is always a threat to break a catch open. Also, Iowa doesnt play Michigan or Ohio State this year. Seems to me Brodell should crush 550.
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