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#1
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Opinions Please
No strong reads but UTG+1 seemed a bit loose. Afterwards I checked PT and got him at 42.8/7.14/.80 over 42 hands.
Full Tilt Poker Limit Holdem Ring game Limit: $0.25/$0.5 8 players Converter Pre-flop: (8 players) Hero is MP2 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, MP1 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, 4 folds, UTG+1 calls. Flop: 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (5.4SB, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 bets</font>, Hero calls. Turn: 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3.7BB, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 bets</font>, Hero calls. River: 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5.7BB, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, UTG+1 folds. Uncalled bets: 1BB returned to Hero. Results: Final pot: 7.7BB |
#2
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Re: Opinions Please
it's perfecto
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#3
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Re: Opinions Please
I think folding the flop agaisnt this passive guy wouldn't be so bad.
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#4
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Re: Opinions Please
[ QUOTE ]
I think folding the flop agaisnt this passive guy wouldn't be so bad. [/ QUOTE ] Mathmatically I think you may be right but I almost never fold a flop HU when I'm donked into and have >3 outs which I think we have here. But that may be a leak brought on by my ego. |
#5
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Re: Opinions Please
[ QUOTE ]
I think folding the flop agaisnt this passive guy wouldn't be so bad. [/ QUOTE ] I don't not agree, but I'm reading that as OP got the stats after the hand. Looks good to me as played. |
#6
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Re: Opinions Please
I would probably just call instead of raise the river.
I doubt he bets a J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] or worse. |
#7
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Re: Opinions Please
[ QUOTE ]
I would probably just call instead of raise the river. I doubt he bets a J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] or worse. [/ QUOTE ] hmmm. I don't think so, raising here is definitely profitable. There are 2 hands that beat us, and many that he'll make a crying call with - sets, sometimes 2 pair, worse flushes - especially 2 card flushes he made on the turn, they never get folded here (edit by a guy with these stats, (edit and sometimes straights. And I'm not as concerned about A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] || K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] as I might be in other spots. edit: If this guy had less insane stats, I'd be inclined to respect his ability to fold almost all worse hands, but I think it's safe to assume this guy sucks. |
#8
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Re: Opinions Please
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I would probably just call instead of raise the river. I doubt he bets a J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] or worse. [/ QUOTE ] hmmm. I don't think so, raising here is definitely profitable. There are 2 hands that beat us, and many that he'll make a crying call with - sets, sometimes 2 pair, worse flushes - especially 2 card flushes he made on the turn, they never get folded here. And I'm not as concerned about A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] || K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] as I might be in other spots. [/ QUOTE ] To clarify my thoughts, if he bets 1) He has complete air and is bluffing 2) He has the K or A I don't think he bets 2pair expecting to win, and if he's good enough to value bet a pair or J or T, then he certainly is smart enough to fold to a raise. |
#9
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Re: Opinions Please
[ QUOTE ]
I think folding the flop agaisnt this passive guy wouldn't be so bad. [/ QUOTE ] This guy is not that passive. He is basically playing every other hand. Having a .8 AF is pretty stiff when playing half of your hands. |
#10
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Re: Opinions Please
This is a very marginal situation, so it's close either way. Personally, I think peeling is a little thin with your hand. Despite the fact that I'd give a lot of value to your Overs - say between 4 and 5 outs - that still gives you at the very most about a 6 out hand and the pot is small.
FWIW, I think raising the flop is terrible. |
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