LAG Overbets

[jk3a]

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $104.20
BB: $365.95
Hero (UTG): $200.00
CO: $212.50
BTN: $221.55

Reads: <font color="blue">villain is 61/26/6 through 80 hands. Only read is that he bet 1/2 pot on river after turning a flush against my AA and the turn got checked through. He did c/c oop with his flush draw that hand. Please note he over cold called preflop. If it matters, he instashoved.</font>

Preflop: Hero is dealt K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (5 Players)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $8.00</font>, CO calls $8.00, BTN calls $8.00, 2 folds

Flop: ($27) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $22.00</font>, CO folds, <font color="red">BTN raises all-in to $213.55</font>,

[yabastid]

Usually with loose monkeys sitting to my left I prefer to have a pretty solid starting hand if I'm raising it up especially if other decent players will start over calling with speculative hands hoping to win a big pot. I guess this is okay for the times you hit two pair vs. his whatever but as played this is an easy fold.

[jk3a]

bump

[Dan Bitel]

I call here. This could easily be a draw, but more importantly, he can play a worse ten like this so often. We're beat by I guess T8/AT/22 and thats it...maybe this is the type of maniac who doesnt rr 88 preflop. But even then, maniacs DO seem to slowplay big hands every now and then as well

[jk3a]

[ QUOTE ]
Usually with loose monkeys sitting to my left I prefer to have a pretty solid starting hand if I'm raising it up especially if other decent players will start over calling with speculative hands hoping to win a big pot. I guess this is okay for the times you hit two pair vs. his whatever but as played this is an easy fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

What do you mean easy fold? We need ~41% to make this neutral EV and look at our equity against this range.

Board: Th 8d 2d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 35.944% 34.68% 01.26% 10301 374.50 { KsTs }
Hand 1: 64.056% 62.79% 01.26% 18650 374.50 { 88, 22, AdQd, AdJd, ATs, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KdQd, KdJd, KdTd, Kd9d, QdJd, QdTd, Qd9d, JdTd, Jd9d, Td9d, T8s, 9d7d, 9d6d, 7d6d }


Throw in a few worse hands like QT/JT/T9/J9 and watch what happens.


Board: Th 8d 2d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 51.483% 50.13% 01.36% 23820 644.50 { KsTs }
Hand 1: 48.517% 47.16% 01.36% 22411 644.50 { 88, 22, AdQd, AdJd, ATs, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KdQd, KdJd, KdTd, Kd9d, QdJd, QTs, Qd9d, J9s+, T8s+, 9d7d, 9d6d, 7d6d, QTo, JTo }

[yabastid]

Don't for get AA/KK and 1010. Though maybe only put one combo of AA in and one of KK (always possible- or maybe just 1 AA). I don't know, to me it's an easy fold, I just don't like getting myself involved in these situations. I think it's more important to to be aware of table dynamics and position so that this doesn't happen rather than putting together huge ranges vs. a maniac to see if I can call with +/- 5% equity. It's a part my game I try to do without.

[jk3a]

[ QUOTE ]
Don't for get AA/KK and 1010. Though maybe only put one combo of AA in and one of KK (always possible- or maybe just 1 AA). I don't know, to me it's an easy fold, I just don't like getting myself involved in these situations. I think it's more important to to be aware of table dynamics and position so that this doesn't happen rather than putting together huge ranges vs. a maniac to see if I can call with +/- 5% equity. It's a part my game I try to do without.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's either +EV or it's not. Do you play underrolled?

[yabastid]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Don't for get AA/KK and 1010. Though maybe only put one combo of AA in and one of KK (always possible- or maybe just 1 AA). I don't know, to me it's an easy fold, I just don't like getting myself involved in these situations. I think it's more important to to be aware of table dynamics and position so that this doesn't happen rather than putting together huge ranges vs. a maniac to see if I can call with +/- 5% equity. It's a part my game I try to do without.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's either +EV or it's not. Do you play underrolled?

[/ QUOTE ]

No, I don't play under-rolled. I gave you my opinion and tried to help. Anyway, gl.

[BigPoppa]

I'm leaning towards a call here.

Villain has already shown that he wants to get paid off with a big made hand (his 1/2 pot bet with a Flush). This looks way more like he's trying to blow you off the pot (and I don't think you're getting levelled by a guy with those stats).

With his AF, I think he's got a HUGE range here. Not only are draws and worse T's in there, but so are UI overcards and underpairs like 99.

Call and expect to get sucked out on.

[coldcallchris]

[ QUOTE ]

Call and expect to get sucked out on.

[/ QUOTE ]