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#1
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Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)
SB: $179.75 Hero (BB): $185.70 UTG: $135.60 CO: $209.75 BTN: $197.00 Preflop: Hero is dealt J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5 Players) 2 folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $7.00</font>, SB calls $6.00, Hero calls $5.00 Flop: ($21) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players) SB checks, Hero checks, BTN checks Turn: ($21) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players) SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $17.00</font>, BTN calls $17.00, SB folds River: ($55) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">Hero bets $88.00</font> TheXC is 20/18/2/228, 4% 3-bet, 50% CB. |
#2
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You're never bluffing him off a FH, so I guess just pray he has 87
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#3
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he has 9x too often
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#4
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If you never overbet the pot on the river then you should not when you are bluffing
Throw in a 1/2 to 2/3 sized bet on the river for deception |
#5
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thexc is very good and can make big folds.
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#6
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the main question is what does this guy check behind with on the flop but call with on the turn?
I think a decent portion of his range is missed draws but those will fold to a smaller bet whereas 9x is rarely folding even to this large bet. |
#7
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i doubt he has 9x here, unless its A9
i think every other 9x hand has to cbet this flop this play probably +EV but it's marginal..you'll fold out enough draws though |
#8
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Why would 9x bet this flop?
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#9
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if he's decent and the way the hand played out, I wouldn't be surprised if he called turn with ace high.
therefore there's no reason to overbet riv unless he enjoys making big calls, because you're not getting him off TT+ anyway. |
#10
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I hope that you overbet only because you know the player. That huge over bet is going to get picked off often by a lot of players. I know I make light calls vs overbets only because its obv sometimes when someone cant win so they bet big. Are you repping the deuce or what? I suppose I like this bet a lot if you think he'll fold a big hand here, but I am not a fan of overbetting unless its got something to back it up.
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