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#1
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Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.10/$0.25 Blinds - 3 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)
SB: $9.73 Hero (BB): $25.00 BTN: $28.05 Reads: <font color="blue">First hand at the table. No stats</font> Preflop: Hero is dealt J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 Players) <font color="red">BTN raises to $0.75</font>, SB folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $3.00</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises to $5.25</font>, Hero ? Push fold call? |
#2
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Push: nay.
Fold: aye. Curse: aye. |
#3
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no call?
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#4
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Without reads I fold to the 4-bet here also.
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#5
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Call and spike your set. I think it's horrible to fold for another $2.75 with this sized pot and only three handed.
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#6
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[ QUOTE ]
Call and spike your set. I think it's horrible to fold for another $2.75 with this sized pot and only three handed. [/ QUOTE ] It would be horrible to setmine here. It is 2.25 more to call, and stacks are simply not deep enough. You could call and pray villain has AK/TT and go broke on a flop with no overs. That would not be horrible, but I would like a read before I try something like that. |
#7
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[ QUOTE ]
Call and spike your set. I think it's horrible to fold for another $2.75 with this sized pot and only three handed. [/ QUOTE ] This might be true. For some reason I was thinking this was 10NL. |
#8
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[ QUOTE ]
Push: nay. Fold: aye. Curse: aye. [/ QUOTE ] the ayes have it OP, what kind of plan do you have if you call? What flop do you like, seriously? |
#9
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call for a set, you have the implied odds here. I'd likely muck w/o hitting a set.
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#10
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Ok, here is the math geek grinding away at numbers on a Saturday afternoon.
For this specific example I've written a small program and came up with the following numbers: This is in this hand against Aces or Kings only, and villain is going to stack of anyway. The rake has been subtracted from the pot. we will not hit a set: 87.766% we will hit a set (or better): 12.234% we will win the hand with the set: 80.343% we will lose the hand with the set: 19.229% we will tie the hand with the set : .42823% in 87.766% of the cases, we lose our original call, which is 2.25 in the other 12.234% of the cases, we invest another 19.75, which in total brings the investment from the decision point to 22 we will win the pot (47.60) 80.373 % of the time we will lose the pot 19.229 % of the time we will tie the pot .42823 % of the time 80.373 % we win 47.60 - 22 we invested, which is 25.6 --> 20.58 19.229 % we lose the 22 invested, which is -4.23 .42823 % we tie, getting 47.60 / 2= 23.8, net of 1.8 --> 0.01 -------- + 17.35 So, in summary: we lose $ 2.25 87.766% of the time --> -$1.97 we win $ 17.35 12.134% of the time --> +$2.11 ------ +$0.14 So we make $0.14 by calling, and only if villain is going to stack of 100% of the time. I'd say that won't happen, so it's marginal at best. By the way against Aces only the EV is +$0.16, against Kings only the EV is +$0.11 |
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