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#1
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Good time to float/turn bluff?
Villain doesn't seem that great, is 38/20/8 over about 50 hands. His Won $ WSF is around 65% so he apparently likes to win hands and I've seen him attack a weak cbet before. I figure I either have the best hand on the flop still or theres a good chance he's not that strong anyway so I can take it away on the turn if a good card hits for me. I didn't want to just repop the flop because I figured he would double barrel the turn anway with his entire range so I would win more by waiting. How does it look?
Full Tilt Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (4 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font> <font color="#C00000">Hero ($405)</font> SB ($397.70) BB ($410.40) UTG ($438.80) Preflop: Hero is Button with T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $14</font>, SB calls $12, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>. Flop: ($32) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $20</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $60</font>, Hero calls $40. Turn: ($152) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets $108</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $331 (All-In)</font> |
#2
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Re: Good time to float/turn bluff?
I think I bet $24 or $28 on flop and fold to c/r, or don't bet at all.
Your line looks strong but I think it's somewhat problematic, because he could be doing the flop c/r with a variety of draws that include (amongst other) QT. Also, considering this far he has played almsot 40% of his hands, two pair definitely ain't out of his range. I just don't like the idea of trying to make that kinda loonies fold. Obviously the sample is small too. The fact to the matter is that he looks like a guy who you should just let hang himself when you actually have something instead of trying to push him around.. |
#3
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Re: Good time to float/turn bluff?
if you gotta do this, thats the best turn for it aside from a heart I guess.
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#4
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Re: Good time to float/turn bluff?
This is just spew. He didn't bet on turn to fold for sure. Besides you can't trust his Won $ WSF w/ such a small sample size.
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