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#1
06-28-2007, 07:16 PM
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Anthony Reyes (0-10)
Will Anthony Reyes lose 20 games? Is he really that bad? Are his numbers kind of deceiving?
I don't believe he is as bad as his record or his 6.70 ERA. The Cards probably don't either. Opp Avg. is a reasonable but not great .270 68 hits in 64 IP. Also not particularly horrendous, without looking this is probably better than Maddux. 3.3 BB/9 a little high. Giving up a jack every 8 innings, also not that terrible. So, whats going on? I haven't seen any of his starts. Some Cards fans can chime in here. I would assume he has no ability to control damage. 
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#4
06-29-2007, 03:38 PM
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Re: Anthony Reyes (0-10)
[ QUOTE ]
On an interesting sidenote, I just looked up Anthony Young's career stats. How on Earth did he manage to go 1-16 with a 3.77 ERA in '93? 15-48 w/ 3.89 over his career. [/ QUOTE ] in fairness to Mr. Young, he got incredibly unlucky. regardless: 3.77 was closer to league average back then, it seems to have been 3.92, and pitching at Shea makes him about league average. furthermore, he gave up 62 runs (42 earned) in 102 innings, making his RA well above 5. One wonders how the Mets managed to average an unearned run every five innings he pitched.
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#5
06-28-2007, 07:23 PM
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Re: Anthony Reyes (0-10)
As a Mets fan, I haven't seen much of the Cards this year /JoeMorgan
but have you seen the lineup they've been trotting out? It's like a slumping Pujols + 7 guys who aren't even as good as David Eckstein. Just checked mlb.com. 28th in MLB in runs scored. I think we have an answer.
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#9
06-28-2007, 07:28 PM
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Re: Anthony Reyes (0-10)
Nate Silver had an interesting comment on reyes in his chat the other day on BP:
[ QUOTE ] brianjamesoak (Alameda, CA): Thanks for the chat, Nate. Anthony Reyes's peripheral stats look fine, even the homerun rate. Why is he getting knocked around? Nate Silver: It seems like every time I turn the TV on Reyes is down 5-0 in the first inning. He doesn't miss bats -- just 19% of his strikeouts have been of the swinging variety, as compared to a league average of 22% -- and it seems like most of his strikeouts are just the result of his nibbling a whole lot and hoping for the best. And he has to nibble because he's going to get creamed if he works in the middle of the zone. I think he could be a league-average starter if he played in a big park like San Diego -- otherwise, he's fringy. [/ QUOTE ] I haven't seen him pitch enough in person to really have an opinion. I was high on him coming into the season based on last years peripherals and his minor league numbers, but now, not so much.
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#10
06-28-2007, 07:39 PM
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Re: Anthony Reyes (0-10)
[ QUOTE ]
Nate Silver had an interesting comment on reyes in his chat the other day on BP: [ QUOTE ] brianjamesoak (Alameda, CA): Thanks for the chat, Nate. Anthony Reyes's peripheral stats look fine, even the homerun rate. Why is he getting knocked around? Nate Silver: It seems like every time I turn the TV on Reyes is down 5-0 in the first inning. He doesn't miss bats -- just 19% of his strikeouts have been of the swinging variety, as compared to a league average of 22% -- and it seems like most of his strikeouts are just the result of his nibbling a whole lot and hoping for the best. And he has to nibble because he's going to get creamed if he works in the middle of the zone. I think he could be a league-average starter if he played in a big park like San Diego -- otherwise, he's fringy. [/ QUOTE ] I haven't seen him pitch enough in person to really have an opinion. I was high on him coming into the season based on last years peripherals and his minor league numbers, but now, not so much. [/ QUOTE ] Would love to know if Mr. Silver, or anyone else, is on record as having this belief about Anthony Reyes's future before he started 0-10 on a poor offensive team this year. He was BA's top STL prospect for both '05 and '06. Now all of a sudden he's lucky to have a rotation spot if he pitches in Petco?
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