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#1
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NL 10 AK vs Shortie
Villain is 46/6/.7 but that's only over 33 hands.
Check? Fold? Raise? Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) UTG ($13.05) UTG+1 ($9.95) MP1 ($10.15) MP2 ($23.10) MP3 ($10.30) Hero ($10.10) Button ($10) SB ($6.05) BB ($4.40) Preflop: Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $0.4</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls $0.30. Flop: ($0.85) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $0.6</font>, BB calls $0.60. Turn: ($2.05) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, Hero checks. River: ($2.05) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $2.05</font>, Hero? |
#2
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Re: NL 10 AK vs Shortie
My feeling is that you're beat more often than not. So I certainly wouldn't be raising up. But, you're getting 2:1
His flop play says that he got some help from those cards, at least a straight draw and more likely a pair off the board. Then on the river he says "I have an ace" as loud as you could want. So I think he has A7 A9 and AJ a lot of the time. You are ahead of AQ AT and A8. So, if you can stand the variance, I think a call is +ev. |
#3
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Re: NL 10 AK vs Shortie
Well, his stats aren't over enough hands to have a genuine feel for his AF, but if the sample size was significant I think it would be a fairly easy fold. However, I am feeling fairly certain that he likes to see those flops and could therefore easily have a weak A. Although I'm not wanting to add any more to the pot, I don't think I could find a fold here.
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#4
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Re: NL 10 AK vs Shortie
Call.
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#5
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Re: NL 10 AK vs Shortie
[ QUOTE ]
Call. [/ QUOTE ] |
#6
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Re: NL 10 AK vs Shortie
allin
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#7
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Re: NL 10 AK vs Shortie
[ QUOTE ]
My feeling is that you're beat more often than not. So I certainly wouldn't be raising up. But, you're getting 2:1 His flop play says that he got some help from those cards, at least a straight draw and more likely a pair off the board. Then on the river he says "I have an ace" as loud as you could want. So I think he has A7 A9 and AJ a lot of the time. You are ahead of AQ AT and A8. So, if you can stand the variance, I think a call is +ev. [/ QUOTE ] With A7 & A9, the JJ on the board counterfits those two pair hands. Kicker plays correct? Crap, I gotta look that up. |
#8
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Re: NL 10 AK vs Shortie
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] My feeling is that you're beat more often than not. So I certainly wouldn't be raising up. But, you're getting 2:1 His flop play says that he got some help from those cards, at least a straight draw and more likely a pair off the board. Then on the river he says "I have an ace" as loud as you could want. So I think he has A7 A9 and AJ a lot of the time. You are ahead of AQ AT and A8. So, if you can stand the variance, I think a call is +ev. [/ QUOTE ] With A7 & A9, the JJ on the board counterfits those two pair hands. Kicker plays correct? Crap, I gotta look that up. [/ QUOTE ] Yep...5 cards so kicker plays. |
#9
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Re: NL 10 AK vs Shortie
[ QUOTE ]
With A7 & A9, the JJ on the board counterfits those two pair hands. Kicker plays correct? Crap, I gotta look that up. [/ QUOTE ] Doh! |
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