the house jack built

[phantom_lord]

14/9/2.7 over 75 hands. nothing else on him.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB

SB ($100)
BB ($95.34)
UTG ($202.72)
Hero ($121.55)
CO ($220.49)
Button ($188.45)

Preflop: Hero is MP with K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] , K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG calls $1, <font color="red">Hero raises to $5</font> , 1 fold, Button calls $5, 2 folds, UTG folds.

Flop: ($12.50) J [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $8</font>, Button calls $8.

Turn: ($28.50) J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">Button bets $17</font>, Hero calls $17.

River: ($62.50) K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero...

lead or go for c/r?

[keikiwai]

bet $40 and push over his raise or call his ai

i'm worried he checks behind w Jx... in which he just calls your river bet

i think he calls more often than he bets... he can't be feeling very good about either trips or a str8 given the board and his turn bet size

[tannenj]

i generally crai here.

i'm confident he's betting a jack in this spot.

[***]

I like to bet the turn. Villain is the type that is likely to check behind both draws and marginal hands rather than take a stab. It also keeps you out of a sticky situation against trip jacks when the river bricks and villain bets again.

As for the river I prefer to bet because I think that villain is more likely to raise his trips on the river than to pay off our check/raise. I think he definitely is the type to be able to fold QJ here. However he could raise it reading you for AhKh or even any AK chasing the gutshot.

[cakewalk]

open shove sometimes

[Rainclouds]

I love open shoving here. You get called by lower boats, often by straights, sometimes by a jack with a high kicker.

I believe openshoving is more +EV than a decent sized value bet.

[***]

[ QUOTE ]
open shove sometimes

[/ QUOTE ]
This is definitely a good play. If villain is pavel55 this is the only line.

[rberg]

would you have folded, if villian potted turn?

[phantom_lord]

that's a good question, I don't know. probably.