My Squeeze got called. How do I proceed?

[Hoop Addict]

In the SB with A9o, 6 handed. Blinds are 2K/4K no antes.

Stacks of those in the hand:

Me (SB) ~125K
UTG - ~95K
Button - ~105K

UTG is a lagtard & min-raises to 8K. Folds to button who flat calls. I bump it to 30K assuming the lagtard is just being that & having seen the button call UTG's raises before & steal pots from him postflop.

UTG flatcalls my raise & button folds.

Flop is K 8 4 rainbow.

How do I proceed? Do I fire at the flop? If so, how much for? I've got about ~95K left behind at this point & UTG has ~65K.

Also - 1) is a squeeze an acceptable play here, considering if I get called I'll be playing it OOP & 2) was 30K the correct amount to squeeze with there?

[Shine]

Given your read, he is not folding ever. Check fold. Also, I wouldn't bluff a loose station.

[nath]

i'd just shove... BTW, i'd rather just shove PF in a spot like this

[APipeDream]

If you're pushing, I would shove preflop instead of that raise.

[registrar]

I'm not normally coy like this, but I think a pf shove with 30BBs and no antes to win 5BBs is yucky.

[whickerda]

By lagtard do you mean that UTG does not have fold discipline? If that's the case check-fold this flop. If you've seen him make some laydowns then shove this flop.

Like "registrar" I don't like a preflop shove with the size of your stack. Your M is high enough that you can still play poker even if you fold postflop here.

[betgo]

Fold preflop. The stack sizes are not right for a squeeze and you don't bluff a calling station.

As played, you have to push the flop. You may be ahead.

[james129]

46k in pot and it is 22k for him to call. He has good odds on his money...I don't see how you are going to get a minraise from UTG to fold with that small of a bet....especially when he will have position on you.

You either have to give up on the hand or put him to a much harder decision.

[james129]

[ QUOTE ]
Fold preflop. The stack sizes are not right for a squeeze and you don't bluff a calling station.

As played, you have to push the flop. You may be ahead.

[/ QUOTE ]

What could you be ahead of? This would be a text book bluff.

[betgo]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Fold preflop. The stack sizes are not right for a squeeze and you don't bluff a calling station.

As played, you have to push the flop. You may be ahead.

[/ QUOTE ]

What could you be ahead of? This would be a text book bluff.

[/ QUOTE ]
You have ace high. This moron might miniraise call without a higher ace, pp, or king. You probably have some kind of win percentage and you are getting like 2-1 pot odds. Plus he may have missed the dry flop and may fold.

You are 33% against a top 20% hand and 17% against a top 10% hand, so with pot odds pushing is a good semibluff.

Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 17.012% 15.22% 01.79% 180846 21262.50 { A9o }
Hand 1: 82.987% 81.20% 01.79% 964629 21262.50 { 77+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, AJo+, KQo }


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2,322,540 games 0.016 secs 145,158,750 games/sec

Board: Ks 8d 2h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 32.532% 29.26% 03.27% 679557 76018.50 { A9o }
Hand 1: 67.468% 64.19% 03.27% 1490946 76018.50 { 66+, A4s+, K8s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, A9o+, KTo+, QTo+ }