Does he have AxKh, or a boat?

[nickg1532]

villain is 30/12/1.4 over small sample (less than 50 hands), and seems reasonable

PokerStars 3/6 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, CO calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB 3-bets</font>, CO calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (9 SB) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, BB checks, CO checks.

Turn: (4.50 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls, CO folds.

River: (6.50 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises</font>, Hero thinks 3 betting is bad, but also can't believe villain would check that flop with a set (or TT)

[NinaWilliams]

A set seems pretty likely based on the action. When you 3 bet and youre behind you lose 2 bets but when your ahead you win 1 so I just call.

[nickg1532]

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A set seems pretty likely based on the action. When you 3 bet and youre behind you lose 2 bets but when your ahead you win 1 so I just call.

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yeah, that's the factor that most pushes it to a call imo, though i'm still interested in, as a matter of hand reading, what people think he's more likely to have here

[Nfinity]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
A set seems pretty likely based on the action. When you 3 bet and youre behind you lose 2 bets but when your ahead you win 1 so I just call.

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yeah, that's the factor that most pushes it to a call imo, though i'm still interested in, as a matter of hand reading, what people think he's more likely to have here

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This would be the correct thinking if it was equally likely he held a set as a weaker flush. with his line, this is a K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] or worse way more than a very poorly slowplayed set.

[nickg1532]

well, i agree with you that Kh is more likely, though i'm not sure it's likely enough to warrant the 3 bet... could be wrong, though. that's why i posted it [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[Nfinity]

I 3-bet this all day.

[yourface]

I refuse to believe he has a fh here. it really wouldn't make sense unless he has a very scared TT.

that kind of thinking cost me an extra 2 bets last night though.

[Genesis]

I call the river raise. BB 3bet preflop, and only raises 12% anyway, so his range is tightened down a lot. I'd estimate something like ATs+, KQs+, 88+. Comparing that range to this board you are behind more often than not after he raises the river. You need to be ahead 67% to make a 3bet break even here. I'm guessing he has exactly TT based on the action.

Edit: Since you held the Qh it is even more unlikely I think, since that excludes QhQx, AxQh and KQs combinations. I doubt he's raising with anything less than Qh here.

[danzasmack]

he checks the flop with TT?

Wow this hand make no sense whatsoever. He shouldn't even be checking KQo there that much. But does he even 3-bet that? Is he terrible enough to have JJ here? My god this hand angers me lol.

No 2 cards make sense here. Go ahead and call. I would say he fold to the 3-bet about as often as he caps as often as he calls.

[nickg1532]

well, looks like a few votes for call, a few for 3-bet. i'd be interested in more opinions, as i think it's an interesting spot. but at the risk of tainting any subsequent responses here are the RESULTS:

i actually 3 bet, partially because i felt Kh was more likely, but mostly because i was tilting a bit at the time. i felt like it was the wrong play but did it anyways. he of course capped w/ 99...NICE FLOP CHECK, DOUCHEBAG!!! DO YOU HATE MONEY????