Noooooooooooooooooooo

[ddubois]

Villain is 35/20. My gut feeling is that he is bad. But that's always my initial assumption when I see lagtard-ish stats, and it's not trustworthy read. (I thought the same thing when I first saw MUCKEMSAYUHH at 2/4, lol.)

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Hold'em Cash Game
$5/$10 Blinds
6 Players
LegoPoker HH Converter

FRUCKOFF: $1,304.00
<font color="black">cosmicpoker: $1,849.00</font>
<font color="black">Hero: $2,457.00</font>
Hart_Foundation: $1,210.00
acold2eyes: $571.25
merc500sl: $360.00

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $35</font>, Hart_Foundation folds, acold2eyes folds, merc500sl folds, FRUCKOFF folds, cosmicpoker calls $25

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($75) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
cosmicpoker checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $55</font>, cosmicpoker calls $55

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($185) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">cosmicpoker bets $100</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $485</font>, cosmicpoker calls $385

<font color="black">River:</font> ($1155) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
cosmicpoker checks, Hero vomits and...

[LegallyBlind]

[ QUOTE ]
I thought the same thing when I first saw MUCKEMSAYUHH

[/ QUOTE ]

it took me a while to figure out why one of my buddylisted fish was always 8-12 tabling 1k or 2k tables.


on the hand, you gotta bet the river. i dont know how he could be full, wouldnt this player always raise a set or two pair somewhere earlier in the hand?

[ddubois]

[ QUOTE ]
i dont know how he could be full, wouldnt this player always raise a set or two pair somewhere earlier in the hand?

[/ QUOTE ]
Can he call $385 on the turn with any made hand worse than aces up? He can't have an ace with a flush draw. He might call turn raise with KsQs/KsJs/4s5s, but presumably those won't call river, unless I bet ridiculously small.

[jj12]

1k

[CopTHIS]

It may sound like the lamest thing ever, but I'd check the river quite a bit there with these stack sizes.

[Reef]

I might actually check this but go on life tilt if he showed AJ

[Terrabon98]

i dont get the check, and i don't get why people think a check is good, unless you think he's tight enough to fold a bare ace to a huge bet, which he isn't.

If he's a laggy player, why would be not be happy getting it in with 44, A10, Ak...he probably rejacks you a decent amount with AK anyway PF, so his range would have to be skewed towards 44, A10, or a hand that you beat, most likely AJish, KQ type hands. There's plenty of value in a bet here.

[Go_Blue88]

I'd most likely value bet here unless I'm playing someone extremely tight.

If he has a fullhouse, then he played it pretty tricky, which seems contrary to your assumption that he sucks.

Also, I think checking behind here is terrible for your image. But, my main game has been HU for a while--so maybe players at 6 max won't take note of that.

[Bullitos]

Villain would have never called the turn raise with A9 or worse, since hero is representing a much better hand than this. There is a possibility he had FD+pair+gut outs, but this hand missed and isn't going to call a significant river bet, even more so after the wild turn action. So you will probably only get called by better hands, that's why I think this is a pretty easy check.

[Terrabon98]

[ QUOTE ]
Villain would have never called the turn raise with A9 or worse, since hero is representing a much better hand than this.

[/ QUOTE ]

come on...

[ QUOTE ]
There is a possibility he had FD+pair+gut outs, but this hand missed and isn't going to call a significant river bet, even more so after the wild turn action. So you will probably only get called by better hands, that's why I think this is a pretty easy check.

[/ QUOTE ]

You think it's more likely that a LAG coldcalls a big raise on the turn with a set/big two pair than just push? That wouldn't make a lot of sense on this board, especially since a push gets a good chunk of hero's chips, regardless of whether he calls or not.