TPJK on 3 flush board, villain Stop-n-go's

[ninjabumpd]

edit: only 14 hands on villain, is 52/42/1.2 FWIW

Poker Stars
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $0.50/$1
6 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
2 folds, CO calls, Button calls, SB folds, hero checks.

Flop: 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3.5SB, 3 players)
hero checks, CO checks, <font color="#cc0000">Button bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">hero raises</font>, CO folds, Button calls.

Turn: T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3.75BB, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">hero bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Button raises</font>, hero calls.

River: Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (7.75BB, 2 players)
hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">Button bets</font>, hero calls.

Results:
Final pot: 9.75BB

[nickg1532]

i think this is fine.

[Oink]

[ QUOTE ]
i think this is fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

[Kvacke]

I think I would bet out 3way when the pot isnt raised in fear of it get checked round, but again villian looks laggy so why wouldnt he try to pick it up, If Im sure he will bet the flop this seems fine.

[Misja]

I would fold the river. Seems to me that villain has either a flush or a better T like 95% of the time. I don't agree that villain looks that laggy with an AF of only 1.2 over 14 hands.

[Oink]

[ QUOTE ]
I would fold the river. Seems to me that villain has either a flush or a better T like 95% of the time. I don't agree that villain looks that laggy with an AF of only 1.2 over 14 hands.

[/ QUOTE ]

Villain has a worse T or just cheese often enough to call. Folding river is extremely horrible.

14 hands is nothing so the AF number is useless. That said, if it was over a reasonable sample then a vpip/AF combo of 52/1.2 implies that villain is pretty aggro postflop. You cannot use the AF number to estimate villains aggresiveness without looking at his vpip.

[nickg1532]

[ QUOTE ]
I think I would bet out 3way when the pot isnt raised in fear of it get checked round, but again villian looks laggy so why wouldnt he try to pick it up, If Im sure he will bet the flop this seems fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah, if there was a fear of it checking through i would bet. however, even w/ our limited read of villain, it seems like he's the type to bet this flop often. in fact, in general i think you can count on flops not getting checked through, at least in the games in play in. so i prefer c/r here