River Overbet by Action Jeff. 140bb's deep

[SharpObject]

Villain is Action Jeff, who is running blistering hot and is a complete luck sack against me so far. He has been active on all my tables, playing back at me some, and I haven't really made a move against him yet. The river is 1100~ to call.



Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $5/$10 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $1000
BB: $666.50
UTG: $1223
<u>Action Jeff (CO): $2345</u>
<u>Hero (BTN): $1438</u>

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (5 Players)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Action Jeff raises to $35</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $120</font>, 2 folds, Action Jeff calls $85

<font color="black">Flop:</font> ($255) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Action Jeff checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $182</font>, Action Jeff calls $182

<font color="black">Turn:</font> ($619) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Action Jeff checks, Hero checks

<font color="black">River:</font> ($619) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Action Jeff bets all-in for $2043</font>, Hero...

[SharpObject]

Important things to note:
What does AJ put me on as an unknown?
Does he expect my range to call here?
What level is he on? *Key to answering first questions*
We are deep so fold equity is higher.
That being said, turn/river are obviously bad for me.

More on my thoughts later.

[FionnMac]

[ QUOTE ]
What does AJ put me on as an unknown

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depends on your 3-betting range, but i would imagine -

88, 99, JJ-10-10, AK/AQ/AJ etc, suited connectors/air, and sometimes flush. More to the point, he knows you almost never have a full house or better

[HoosierAlum]

I've never played cash with Jeff so I'm not sure of his style, but it is pretty obvious you never have a boat here.

I really don't see him playing a set like this on the flop or turn, imo his hand looks alot like JJ. Obv flushes make up a decent portion of his range too.

I fold this pretty quickly, but I'm a nit.

[Darkfolder]

I hope you folded.

[HP]

um, how many hands is he check-calling the flop with and checking the turn which are behind AJ on the river? I guess he could have 67 and 66-99. Seems like too much to hope he's got one of these hands

[HP]

[ QUOTE ]
um, how many hands is he check-calling the flop with and checking the turn which are behind AJ on the river? I guess he could have 67 and 66-99. Seems like too much to hope he's got one of these hands

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btw, if he thinks AJ is the best possible hand you could have, and if I'm right in that the only part of his range worse than AJ is 67/66-99, then the game-theoretic play for him is to push his whole range, and the game-theoretic play for you is to fold your whole range. So IMO you are exploitable if you do ever call this

edit: oh yeah it doesn't make much sense for him to think you don't have an overpair. nm then i guess

[fslexcduck]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
um, how many hands is he check-calling the flop with and checking the turn which are behind AJ on the river? I guess he could have 67 and 66-99. Seems like too much to hope he's got one of these hands

[/ QUOTE ]

btw, if he thinks AJ is the best possible hand you could have, and if I'm right in that the only part of his range worse than AJ is 67/66-99, then the game-theoretic play for him is to push his whole range, and the game-theoretic play for you is to fold your whole range. So IMO you are exploitable if you do ever call this

[/ QUOTE ]

too bad we're playing for money instead of game-theory brownie points. i don't think he pushes a naked T or a flush that often because OP never really has a hand to call.

[HP]

that's why i said 'btw'

[T0ne D0wn]

[ QUOTE ]
Your hand is pretty well defined - once you check behind on the turn, it looks a lot like an overpair or something of the sort. Definitely nothing too strong.


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lol?