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#1
04-28-2007, 07:49 PM
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NL50 6m - Put to the test on the turn
Villain is around 30/18/2 over a smallish sample (~75 hands).
Not much history, but we have tangled a bit. Usually in steal situations, where he 3-bet my raises from BTN or SB a few times rather light. I made him fold some of those 3-bets preflop or on the turn. My image is rather solid, but with plenty of c-bets (~90%). So far, I've only shown down pretty good hands, including stackage AA > KK, and a few orbits ago against this particular villain, a boat vs his slowplayed low trips for a big chunk of his stack. Party Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.25/$0.50 Blinds - 5 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter) SB: $70.96 BB: $50 UTG: $66.60 <font color="black">Hero (CO): $140</font> BTN: $41.75 <font color="black">Preflop:</font> Hero is dealt   (5 Players)UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $2</font>, BTN calls $2, SB folds, BB calls $1.50 <font color="black">Flop:</font> ($6.25)    (3 Players)BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $4.25</font>, BTN calls $4.25, BB folds <font color="black">Turn:</font> ($14.75)  (2 Players)<font color="red">Hero bets $9.25</font>, <font color="red">BTN raises all-in to $35.50</font>, Hero ... Discuss. 
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#2
04-28-2007, 08:07 PM
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Re: NL50 6m - Put to the test on the turn
This looks like Baluga here.
You need 30% to call. Even if you include a larger (optimistic) range (TPTK, 1P+OESD) you only have 40%, and I'm inclined to discount some of the more speculative holdings significantly. Board: 3h Jc 9h 8d Dead: equity win tie pots won pots tied Hand 0: 40.341% 40.34% 00.00% 426 0.00 { KcKd } Hand 1: 59.659% 59.66% 00.00% 630 0.00 { JJ-99, AJs, QTs, J9s+ }
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#4
04-29-2007, 05:29 AM
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Re: NL50 6m - Put to the test on the turn
Zeebo Theorem: no one ever folds a boat
Baluga Theorem: turn raise means one pair is toast Yeti Theorem: some crap about nobody 3-bets trips (also some anti-Yeti theorem)
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#5
04-29-2007, 05:31 AM
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Re: NL50 6m - Put to the test on the turn
[ QUOTE ]
Zeebo Theorem: no one ever folds a boat Baluga Theorem: turn raise means one pair is toast Yeti Theorem: some crap about nobody 3-bets trips (also some anti-Yeti theorem) [/ QUOTE ] Ah, cool, thanks. I had zeebo and baluga mixed up in my mind. What do you think are the chances that villain does this with air, assuming he knows I should be aware of that?
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#6
04-29-2007, 05:36 AM
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Re: NL50 6m - Put to the test on the turn
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Zeebo Theorem: no one ever folds a boat Baluga Theorem: turn raise means one pair is toast Yeti Theorem: some crap about nobody 3-bets trips (also some anti-Yeti theorem) [/ QUOTE ] Ah, cool, thanks. I had zeebo and baluga mixed up in my mind. What do you think are the chances that villain does this with air, assuming he knows I should be aware of that? [/ QUOTE ] I normally wouldn't attribute that many layers of thought to my opponents. Pretty straightforwardly, you've done nothing but show strength and he doesn't seem to care. I think he's expecting to get called.
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