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#1
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99 on the Bubble
I don't seem to get many interesting hands to post, but am still thinking about this one . . .
Full Tilt $10 MTT Donkament - 360 runners, 36 pay, 40 left. Avg chipstack = 13.5K B+E is 400/200/50 or 1,050 in the pot to go . . . (this is such a horrible structure!) Reads: <font color="blue"> EP Villian (24,000) </font> - just doubled up AK vs. TT against table (and tourney) CL. This guy seems pretty tight - way too tight for the bubble and has been willing to let go of marginal hands post flop. <font color="red"> BB villian (28,000) </font> - just lost 12,000 when TT couldn't out-flip AK (see above). Luckbox who keeps calling light and sucking out. Particularly fond of A-rag. Of note to this hand is that he has shown a willingness to defend his blind, esp pushing over limpers. Hero (~11,000) I've been right down the middle. Not too many hands, not too few. I've only shown down winners but have bluffed enough flops to get action once the antes kicked in. I'm feeling pressure to exploit the bubble since winning $16 isn't very appealing . . . <font color="blue"> EP Villian </font> limps (first time for that) fold, fold, fold Hero has 9 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and? Rem. the <font color="red"> BB villian </font> already has 400 in a 1,500 pot. While I'm interested in what your action is, I'm more interested in why ou call, raise, or fold. |
#2
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Re: 99 on the Bubble
I like a raise to 2k. That's pretty sizable and BB might not defend as widely in this spot since it appears to him that you are attacking the limper and not him. And if EP villain is tight, you're also likely to pick up the pot with this raise too.
If you limp, I assume it would be with the intention of limp-re-raising the BB, but stacks are a little awkward for that. Limp-calling the BB is no good because you'd certainly be facing a c-bet and a tough flop decision. Fold 99 in an unraised pot from late position? Nah. |
#3
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Re: 99 on the Bubble
Based on your read I would limp with the intention of calling a raise from the BB but letting go if the EP villain sticks around as he might have noticed the BBs habit of defending vs limpers and be attempting to exploit it.
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#4
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Re: 99 on the Bubble
You could justify a raise, you could justify a limp. I would not mind limping because you'd just like to flop a 9 and there are not many flops where you will have the overpair. Though raising here may be able to pick up the pot. One thing I have found though is that raising on the bubble in these low stakes tournaments does not really accomplish much. Lots of players tend to stick around and you will most likely get a cold call from someone else now you may have to play the hand not only multi way, but also out of posistion. If this were a larger buy in tournament and people actually cared about the payout (obviously $16 is not motivating enough) then you may be able to pick up the pot preflop with a raise. I just feel in these low stakes tournaments raising here may not be the best idea.
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#5
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Re: 99 on the Bubble
raise, call shove from BB unless ep calls/crams overtop
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#6
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Re: 99 on the Bubble
what seat is hero in?
I think I like a shove here. will give a more detailed explanation tomorrow but got an interview ridiculously early in the morning so going to bed! |
#7
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Re: 99 on the Bubble - to the flop!
[ QUOTE ]
I don't seem to get many interesting hands to post, but am still thinking about this one . . . Full Tilt $10 MTT Donkament - 360 runners, 36 pay, 40 left. Avg chipstack = 13.5K B+E is 400/200/50 or 1,050 in the pot to go . . . (this is such a horrible structure!) Reads: <font color="blue"> EP Villian (24,000) </font> - just doubled up AK vs. TT against table (and tourney) CL. This guy seems pretty tight - way too tight for the bubble and has been willing to let go of marginal hands post flop. <font color="red"> BB villian (28,000) </font> - just lost 12,000 when TT couldn't out-flip AK (see above). Luckbox who keeps calling light and sucking out. Particularly fond of A-rag. Of note to this hand is that he has shown a willingness to defend his blind, esp pushing over limpers. Hero (~11,000) I've been right down the middle. Not too many hands, not too few. I've only shown down winners but have bluffed enough flops to get action once the antes kicked in. I'm feeling pressure to exploit the bubble since winning $16 isn't very appealing . . . <font color="blue"> EP Villian </font> limps (first time for that) fold, fold, fold Hero has 9 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and? Rem. the <font color="red"> BB villian </font> already has 400 in a 1,500 pot. [/ QUOTE ] Hero limps (very concerned with 1st limper looking for a rr) SB folds & BB checks. 1,850 in the pot. Flop - 6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] BB bets 1,200, <font color="blue"> EP Villian calls </font>, Hero ??? |
#8
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Re: 99 on the Bubble - to the flop!
I raise to 2100 preflop for value and also to help define EPs hand. I call a BB shove but I fold if BB shoves and EP comes along.
As played I raise to 3600 on the flop with the intention of folding to an EP 3bet and probably calling if the BB shoves and EP folds. If called by EP only I fold if EP leads the turn, my action is exploitable but your description does not sound like he is the type to exploit me. If called by BB and EP I fold if donked into on the turn and freecard the turn if it is checked to me. |
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