100nl - TT overpair faces c/r

ddrstel · #1 03-24-2007, 03:29 PM

Villain is 25/10/1 over 1000 hands and is a winning player. Seems fairly straightforward

Full Tilt Poker
$0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Ring Game
5 Players
LegoPoker Hand Converter

Stack Sizes
SB: $61.6
Hero (BB): $100.5
UTG: $44.30
MP: $176.45
BTN: $128.45

Preflop: T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($1.5, 5 players)
UTG folds, MP folds, BTN raises to $3.50, SB folds, Hero raises to $12, BTN calls $8.50

Flop: 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($24.5, 2 players)
Hero bets $20, BTN raises all in to $116.45, Hero ...?

I'd only just arrived at the table.
The raise all-in was practically instant.

AA-QQ i feel from a straightforward multitabler, i would be 4-bet preflop, however this is still likely.
66-JJ is the range i feel is most suited to make this play.
33-55 possible, but i feel this is less likely due to people loving the slowplay.
AKs/AQs again, likely.

getting ~1.9:1, do you call?

CaucasianAsian29 · #2 03-24-2007, 03:32 PM

I just fold without a pretty strong read

sc000t · #3 03-24-2007, 03:41 PM

I call this. I'd expect AsXs draw more times than not.

Xamot · #4 03-24-2007, 03:45 PM

i'd call... probably a flush draw with 2 strong over cards. it's probably a coin flip though

Tofu_boy · #5 03-24-2007, 03:53 PM

I'll Fold with TT but will call wiith QQ.

willw9 · #6 03-24-2007, 03:54 PM

SA/WB fsho. Fold.

The White Rabbit · #7 03-24-2007, 03:54 PM

[ QUOTE ]

AA-QQ i feel from a straightforward multitabler, i would be 4-bet preflop, however this is still likely.

[/ QUOTE ]
This is very wrong, QQ def. shouldn't 4-bet.

Xamot · #8 03-24-2007, 04:00 PM

[ QUOTE ]
i'd call... probably a flush draw with 2 strong over cards. it's probably a coin flip though

[/ QUOTE ]

i'm a moron, i forgot about a possible wheel draw if he has an ace...

10s: 38.89%
VS
AKs: 58.38%

i also plugged in other over pairs... from 9s - Qs, the odds of winning are the same against AKs