Time for some baseball!!!

[tippy]

Wed 2/28 901 Florida Marlins +115
1:05PM (EST) 902 St Louis Cardinals -130

Wed 2/28 903 Detroit Tigers +103
1:10PM (EST) 904 New York Mets -118

Wed 2/28 905 Colorado Rockies +112
3:05PM (EST) 906 Chicago White Sox -127

Wed 2/28 907 Minnesota Twins +110
7:05PM (EST) 908 Boston Red Sox -125

[ImNew]

I'm on New York Mets -105, also raising my base amount to $300 a pop since I hit 30k yesterday.

[whipsaw]

bet them preseason dogs, boys

[MicroBob]

These are games involving lots of double-A and triple-A players and neither team is trying to win.

Some teams might take them more competitively than others though if you have a Lasorda-type manager or something.

Studies of past spring-training records can give you an indication of which managers might have such leanings.

I seem to remember some really crappy spring records from the Yankees so Joe Torre might be the opposite of this which perhaps makes fading them +EV. Especially since their popularity helps give decent odds on the other side.

I wouldn't mind having more knowledge of the double-A players that are supposed to play in that day's game...because they aren't all created equal you know.
Getting more info on each team's specific pitching rotation for the day can help a little bit.

But you also need to know which pitchers go along more gradually through the spring. Some guys will barely throw a curve-ball in their first outings meaning they can get completely lit-up and they won't really care.

There are lots of factors here. And much of that might never make it into the line I'm guessing...seriously.
And I'm guessing isn't considered by most fans either.


But outside getting any of that additional info to sway your opinion I very much agree that betting the dogs in these games is usually the way to go.
This is only a hunch though. I'm not sure that it's actually +EV.
Just a theory based on getting better odds between two mostly evenly matched teams who don't care diddly about trying to win.

[onlinebeginner]

what's a good tool for studying past spring training records?

[knicknut]

Yeah, can someone find historical spring training results? I'd expect them to be highly autocorrelated. I can't find any.