UFC 68

[dixieflatline]

For those of you that still have pinny accounts:

Ultimate Fighting Championship 68: UFC Heavyweight Championship
Sat 3/3 Tim Sylvia vs Randy Couture
08:30 PM 41 Tim Sylvia -266
42 Randy Couture +246
Ultimate Fighting Championship 68: Welterweights
Sat 3/3 Matt Hughes vs Chris Lytle
08:00 PM 51 Matt Hughes -601
52 Chris Lytle +541

Not sure where these started but right now I am thinking there is some EV on the Hughes. Not sure what to think about Timmay and Randy. I hate Tim so much that it is hard for me to be objective.

[wiper]

what was the rich franklin line, i'm wondering??

my girlfriend and i will be down in columbus to cheer the ohio boy on...franklin is her favorite, tickets weren't THAT bad, it's only a 2 1/2 hour drive, and we both wanted to drink $6 beers and see first hand how his nose has healed!! [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[trixtrix]

-520

[wiper]

my plan was to make 1 bet, where if i won, i'd cover the price of the tickets...

looks like it's gonna be timmay at this point, as -520 and -601 are pretty high for me to be risking enough to cover what i'm trying to cover...

[recipro]

[ QUOTE ]
my plan was to make 1 bet, where if i won, i'd cover the price of the tickets...

looks like it's gonna be timmay at this point, as -520 and -601 are pretty high for me to be risking enough to cover what i'm trying to cover...

[/ QUOTE ]

Odds for Franklin are -446 on Pinny, if that helps. Also -480 on Matchbook, if you are American.

[Dark Helmet]

FYI the rest of the odds from Pinny are
Ultimate Fighting Championship 68: Light Heavyweights
Sat 3/3 Renato Sobral vs Jason Lambert
07:00 PM 65 Renato Sobral -401
66 Jason Lambert +361
Sat 3/3 Matt Hamill vs Rex Holman
05:00 PM 67 Matt Hamill -356
68 Rex Holman +326
Ultimate Fighting Championship 68: Lightweights
Sat 3/3 Gleison Tibau vs Jason Dent
05:00 PM 71 Gleison Tibau -236
72 Jason Dent +216
Sat 3/3 Jamie Varner vs Jason Gilliam
05:00 PM 73 Jamie Varner -456
74 Jason Gilliam +406
Ultimate Fighting Championship 68: Middleweights
Sat 3/3 Martin Kampmann vs Drew McFedries
07:30 PM 61 Martin Kampmann -261
62 Drew McFedries +241
Sat 3/3 Rich Franklin vs Jason MacDonald
07:30 PM 63 Rich Franklin -446
64 Jason MacDonald +406
Ultimate Fighting Championship 68: UFC Heavyweight Championship
Sat 3/3 Tim Sylvia vs Randy Couture
08:30 PM 41 Tim Sylvia -266
42 Randy Couture +246
Ultimate Fighting Championship 68: Welterweights
Sat 3/3 Matt Hughes vs Chris Lytle
08:00 PM 51 Matt Hughes -601
52 Chris Lytle +541
Sat 3/3 Jon Fitch vs Luigi Fioravanti
05:00 PM 69 Jon Fitch -301
70 Luigi Fioravanti +271


Arrg. I dont see many LARGE values here. WTF are MMA markets becoming accurate all of a sudden?

I have some $$$ on Slyvia, although I hate his guts as well. I'm kind of surprised the franklin odds are so lopsided, considering macdonalds recent wins and Franklin's devastating loss to silva. I don't think its off, but I was hoping it would open closer, so I could bet it.

What plays are people considering?

[igetbadbeat]

[ QUOTE ]
-520

[/ QUOTE ]

I had franklin @ -270

[Dark Helmet]

[ QUOTE ]


I had franklin @ -270

[/ QUOTE ]

Damn how did u get that?

And has anyone seen holman fight? Im not too impressed with hamill as a fighter aside from his wrestling of course. So if holman is as good of a wrestler at least, it could be a great bet.

[Patton4]

[ QUOTE ]

And has anyone seen holman fight? Im not too impressed with hamill as a fighter aside from his wrestling of course. So if holman is as good of a wrestler at least, it could be a great bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

I sure hope the UFC doesn't try to push Hamil down our throats. As soon as they give him a match-up with a proficient striker, he will be finished. There is no way he is going to succeed in the UFC unless he fixes the way he holds his hands. He is just waiting to get knocked out. I don't know anything about Holman though, but it seems like the UFC is giving Hamil a fight in which his obvious glaring weakness won't be exploited if Holman is a wrestler.

[trixtrix]

if you're okay w/ the 550$ max limits and the credit risk then props to you