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#1
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YTD (Cup)
Matchups: 12-16 -5.68 Units Outrights: 1-11 -2.75 Units Total: 12-27 -8.43 Units YTD (Overall) Matchups: 17-19 -3.06 Units Outrights: 1-16 -5.75 Units Total: 18-35 -8.81 Units Outright Biffle +1400 1 Unit |
#2
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Kurt Busch (-130) v Kahne 1 Unit
Kyle Busch (EVEN) v Hamlin 1 Unit Newman (-105) v Sadler 1 Unit Truex Jr (+110) v Bowyer 1 Unit |
#3
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Ichabod, why would you take these bets prior to qualifying? You could get stuck with some real dogs here...
I took the Bowyer vs. Truex matchup last week as these guys are almost identical. This is one matchup that can be highly dependant on starting position, especially Bowyers since he is on a secondary car. Why jump the gun? Just curious. |
#4
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Are these are qualifying bets and not race bets???
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#5
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[ QUOTE ]
Are these are qualifying bets and not race bets??? [/ QUOTE ] Yeah they're qualifying matchups so I kind of had to bet them before qualifying [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] |
#6
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My mistake. I glanced at 5dimes and thought these were race bets.
5dimes has Truex+130/Bowyer-150. I'm liking Truex at that price. Newman +105/Sadler -125. I like Newman. Also like Johnson -125 vs. Burton. They have KurtB -130 over Kahne+110. Like Kurt but not quite at -130. I think I'm going with Johnson and Truex tomorrow. I'll post again before qualifying starts. |
#7
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Adding-
Newman (+120) v Sadler 1 Unit Truex Jr (+125) v Bowyer 1 Unit |
#8
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Cris has Kahne +550 (the favorite) to win the race, and has Kurt Busch at +2000.
How does this jive with Busch -130 vs. Kahne in qualifying? Is the value on Kahne in qualifying or Busch in the race? I suspect you will say Busch in the race, although I am not so sure about that. Edited to add: Pinny has Kahne at +623 to win the pole and Busch at +704. Then oddly had Busch at +2010 to win the race. What am I missing? Isn't qualifying pretty indicative of how the cars will perform in the race at a track like California? |
#9
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I'm passing on the Truex/Bowyer matchup and the Newman/Sadler matchup. Just took a look at their Vegas testing times for the short tracks and it looks like Sadler is running pretty well already. Also, someone keeps pushing the line towards Bowyer, which is a concern.
As for the KurtB v. Kahne matchup, Kurt grabbed 2 poles at Cal last year, so that is why he is the favorite over Kahne. I'm going with Johnson over Burton as my only qualifying play. |
#10
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How are the RCR drivers looking?
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