400nl nut flush draw...smart, spew, or neither?

neff · #1 02-04-2007, 03:55 PM

Just sat down about 20 hands ago. Villian seems solid, hasn't gotten out of line. I've been solid and haven't gotten out of line myself, raising and cbetting with relative success. Would a raise of 140 or so do the same thing?

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $2/$4
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $405.80
UTG+1: $94
CO: $106
Hero: $489.90
SB: $467
BB: $362.20

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
3 folds, Hero raises to $14, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($42, 3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $34, SB calls, BB folds.

Turn: 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($110, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks.

River: 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($110, 2 players)
SB bets $40, Hero raises all-in $441.9

hockeyf · #2 02-04-2007, 03:57 PM

Representing what ?

KEWL · #3 02-04-2007, 04:04 PM

i like this move better if you fired on the turn

neff · #4 02-04-2007, 04:07 PM

Is not firing on the turn the worst part of the hand?

LucidDream · #5 02-04-2007, 10:25 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Is not firing on the turn the worst part of the hand?

[/ QUOTE ]

a combination of not firing on the turn then shoving the river is the worst part of this hand. but i would bet that turn way more than i would check it.

nuggetz87 · #6 02-04-2007, 10:34 PM

i don't think it's as bad as you guys are saying. 99 and 78 are both believable. i think it's fine. i don't think i would bet turn either.

BobboFitos · #7 02-04-2007, 10:00 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Representing what ?

[/ QUOTE ]

the nuts, obviously. (7-8)

just a question of whether or not villain believes hero.

creedofhubris · #8 02-04-2007, 04:16 PM

Wait, what?

Bet the turn.

As played, you have a hand you can showdown, call riv.

berserk · #9 02-04-2007, 04:37 PM

Why??

FireStorm · #10 02-04-2007, 04:45 PM

Turn bet here would be key to the river move. I think this river shove is entirely unnecessary, you can either wave the white flag or make it $150 and get the same result as you would have making it $442. Your opponent's line here is odd, but IMO you get called fairly frequently and the resulting stack off is obviously uglyyyyyyyy.