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#1
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$400 NL Two Math Problems
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)
SB ($645.15) BB ($225) UTG ($571.30) MP ($800.70) CO ($275.90) Hero ($784) Preflop: Hero is Button with 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $14</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $48</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to $140</font>, Hero? Working under the assumption villain's range here is kk+ (It may be just AA) can I call profitably here? If it's a fold how deep do you think we need to be here to call. PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) Hero ($445) Button ($416) SB ($378) BB ($392.50) UTG ($939.50) Preflop: Hero is MP with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $16</font>, Hero calls $16, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls $12. Flop: ($50) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $36</font>, Hero calls $36, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $108</font>, UTG folds, Hero ? Working under the assumption villain shoves 100% of turns can hero call profitably. If hero calls should he be calling a push on any cards that are a not a 9 or A |
#2
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Re: $400 NL Two Math Problems
Hand 1 isnt even close i dont think, putting in 18% of stack with SCs to stack AA,KK is way off to be profitable.
Hand 2, youre calling $70 to win 50+36+36+108+270 behind = 500, you hit ~1/6, 70*6 = 420 so yes you can call if he is pushing any turn with a +EV of $80, ignoring his redraw. If you assume he has a set he would have 10 redraw outs, which he will hit ~1/5 on the river, so his equity in the $850 pot would be about $170, so your +ev of $80 turns into a -ev of $90. If he has QJ he has 4 redraw outs, which hits ~1/11, so youre equity would be neutral. So it looks like you cant call profitably if you are sure he is pushing the turn and his range is sets and 2 pairs. Looking at other cards, obviously hearts, a heart gives you 15 outs or about 1/3 equity, although more likely Qh and 7h would not be outs giving you 13 outs to the river meaning you would be pretty close to neutral EV calling his <PSB push, without doing the math. |
#3
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Re: $400 NL Two Math Problems
Alright I did some math for the 2nd one
Assume his range is 77 and qj and I need to call 72 on the flop into a 236 pot. i'm 87.5% against a range of 77 and qj and i need to call 72 into 236 8/45 chance of hitting my straight Also I have a 8/45 chance of hitting a flush draw that doesn't pair the board. If I hit a flush draw then I have 31.25% equity which gives me just enough to call, I'm basically breaking even if the turn is a heart and I call. so 8/45 we break even 8/45 we win (pot x 0.875) 29/45 we lose $72 pot= 838 838 x 0.875 x (8/45)= 130 calling is +EV |
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