3k on federer to win 3450. good idea?

FeltBelt · #1 01-27-2007, 06:14 PM

seems like he's about a million to one to lose this match (not seriously, but you get the idea). isn't this close to free money?

MCS · #2 01-27-2007, 06:15 PM

Where the hell are you betting Federer at +115?

LLXC · #3 01-27-2007, 06:18 PM

He probably meant 345.

kiddj · #4 01-27-2007, 06:18 PM

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Where the hell are you betting Federer at +115?

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FeltBelt · #5 01-27-2007, 06:19 PM

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Where the hell are you betting Federer at +115?

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uh, yeah. winning 450. total of 3450. I thought this would be obvious. if it was what you thought it was I would put my life savings on it.

MCS · #6 01-27-2007, 09:22 PM

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Where the hell are you betting Federer at +115?

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uh, yeah. winning 450. total of 3450. I thought this would be obvious. if it was what you thought it was I would put my life savings on it.

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Oh, right. I should have thought of that. Anyway, just FYI, I think that "3000 to win 450" is the more standard style in this forum.

Homer · #7 01-27-2007, 09:39 PM

If anyone is looking to donk a little on this match, here are some bets I believe are +EV (true line in parentheses).

Gonzo 1st Set +295 (+258)

Federer 3-2 +585 (+470)

Gonzo +1.5 Sets +253 (+220)

Good luck.

Homer · #8 01-27-2007, 10:23 PM

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Federer 3-2 +585 (+470)

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Apparently this is +730 at Pinny, great value if you can get it.

1C5 · #9 01-27-2007, 06:21 PM

Did you watch Gonzo in his last 2 matches?

Sure Fed will probably win, but a sure thing? I don't think so...

FeltBelt · #10 01-27-2007, 06:24 PM

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Did you watch Gonzo in his last 2 matches?

Sure Fed will probably win, but a sure thing? I don't think so...

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it would pretty much the biggest upset in the recent history of tennis if federer loses... it's as close to a sure thing as it gets in sports betting, no?