Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Poker Discussion > Televised Poker
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 02-07-2006, 02:10 PM
DayTripping DayTripping is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Southwest Las Vegas
Posts: 1,016
Default High Stakes Poker - run it twice

On HSP last night I saw a couple instances where players agreed to run the turn/river twice after the flop. I believe each time both players were all in and knew what the opponent held. Why would the player who is favored to win after the flop ever agree to do this?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 02-07-2006, 02:12 PM
TylerD TylerD is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: UK
Posts: 3,990
Default Re: High Stakes Poker - run it twice

reduce variance.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 02-07-2006, 02:16 PM
DayTripping DayTripping is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Southwest Las Vegas
Posts: 1,016
Default Re: High Stakes Poker - run it twice

Seems to contradict the idea of wanting to get all your money in when you have the best of it.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 02-07-2006, 02:19 PM
Runner Runner Runner Runner is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: Better then Elezra
Posts: 749
Default Re: High Stakes Poker - run it twice

It's not a contradiction at all. When you have the best of it, your opponent is rarely going to draw out on you both times so you are basically freerolling for the whole thing and splitting when he does draw out 1 out of 2 times. I would take the deal to reduce variance everytime if I was betting as much as they are.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 02-07-2006, 02:22 PM
Mano Mano is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Salt Lake City, Utah
Posts: 1,416
Default Re: High Stakes Poker - run it twice

If you had a bet where you are a 60/40 favorite and your entire bankroll is a million dollars, would you rather make one bet for a million dollars, or a million bets of $1 each? Both have the same expected value, but the latter bet has the lower variance.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 02-07-2006, 03:05 PM
Lady Dont Tekno Lady Dont Tekno is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: 400NL WINNING - 600NL LOSING
Posts: 815
Default Re: High Stakes Poker - run it twice

[ QUOTE ]
If you had a bet where you are a 60/40 favorite and your entire bankroll is a million dollars, would you rather make one bet for a million dollars, or a million bets of $1 each? Both have the same expected value, but the latter bet has the lower variance.

[/ QUOTE ]

You should write a book, that was explained very well.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 02-07-2006, 09:20 PM
BigSoonerFan BigSoonerFan is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Augusta National
Posts: 1,937
Default Re: High Stakes Poker - run it twice

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
If you had a bet where you are a 60/40 favorite and your entire bankroll is a million dollars, would you rather make one bet for a million dollars, or a million bets of $1 each? Both have the same expected value, but the latter bet has the lower variance.

[/ QUOTE ]

You should write a book, that was explained very well.

[/ QUOTE ]

To add to that, it's all about gambling. Do you want to do it? Sure you can gamble with your 60% to make a million or you can just take your "real" profit (in this example, 20%).
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 02-07-2006, 02:54 PM
Isura Isura is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 13,926
Default Re: High Stakes Poker - run it twice

[ QUOTE ]
Seems to contradict the idea of wanting to get all your money in when you have the best of it.

[/ QUOTE ]

WTF
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 02-07-2006, 03:13 PM
maurile maurile is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2003
Posts: 2,173
Default Re: High Stakes Poker - run it twice

[ QUOTE ]
Seems to contradict the idea of wanting to get all your money in when you have the best of it.

[/ QUOTE ]
No it doesn't. They players were all in before agreeing to run it twice. They're still all in after agreeing to run it twice.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 02-07-2006, 02:18 PM
Cooker Cooker is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2004
Posts: 911
Default Re: High Stakes Poker - run it twice

As has been discussed in other forums, running it twice doesn't change the EV at all and simply reduces the variance. I guess some players would like a touch lower variance all in for $100,000. Also, some people do this to get action figuring that if they are known to run it twice people will be less afraid to call big bets on early streets when in reality, it costs them nothing in EV to run it twice.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:31 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.