1/2 6 max, wondering if bluffing is ok.

[sahaguje]

Villain is a good 50/15, a little passive preflop but usually agressive on flop with made hands and big draws. I have a LAG image, raising a lot of hands.



Full Tilt Poker
Pot Limit Omaha Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
5 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
Hero: $319.15
CO: $173.45
Button: $196
SB: $293.25
BB: $315.65

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is UTG with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $7</font>, 2 folds, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($21, 3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $21</font>, SB calls, BB folds.

Turn: 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($63, 2 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $63</font>, <font color="#cc0000">SB raises to $126</font>, Hero calls.

River: K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($315, 2 players)
SB checks




How often and under which condition do you bet the river here ? The pot is 315, villain has 140.

[plako]

I would bluff the river only against players that are both weak and bad (not very common at PLO200). Opoponents line looks a lot like decent made hand (e.g. low set or two pair with aces) or big drawing hand that got better on turn. Drawing hands are propably folding river but your line didn't look like aces so good players might call you down with a pair of aces only.

However semi-bluffing turn would seem a lot better. I would re-raise turn almost always with a set. You could get a fold from weakish holdings that are ahead and you have a very good draw now.

[Professorn]

I think he will call with a made set to often to make this +EV, it's good thinking but I don't think he has a drawing hand often enough. I think he has decided to check/call the river.

I would really like to hear more oppinions on this decision from more experienced players!

[Eagles]

I check the turn and like never ever bet the river here.

[Lafortezza]

Give it up here. The King is a blank, no draws completed, so SB likely has a made hand on the turn after he raised.

[Silent A]

My best guess is he has A97x and the K is a minor scare card. With only 140 behind I think he's calling anything with that hand or better. It's highly unlikely that he's on any kind of pure draw. I can't think of any reasonable drawing hand that could explain that mini-raise on the turn when a relative blank hits. If he doesn't have a calling hand then he's got a major case of Fancy Play Syndrome.

You need him to fold 30% of the time for this to work and I don't think it's nearly close enough to have sufficient meta game value.