Variance

[jimster]

Just wondering what you guys would say is a normal variance for low/medium stakes no-limit HE?

Is losing 10-20 BI a normal variance?

[flytrap]

I've never been one to study the variance formulas and such, but I'm pretty sure that kind of variance is not normal. Anything over 10 buyins would start to worry me.

[iAmAddicted]

10-20 Bi is past normal imo. anything over ten and one questions their ability as a palyer. Unless ur name is FGators, then after 80 BI you're still confident.

[wave261]

I f you play in games where people push a lot of hands, variance is a lot bigger then passive games. I think when you play on party, 15 bi ds are common.

[Wolfram]

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If you play in games where people push a lot of hands, variance is a lot bigger then passive games. I think when you play on party, 15 bi ds are common.

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This just ain't true. It's very easy to beat maniac pushers and have a low variance. Getting all-in regularly as at least a 65/35 favorite has very little variance involved.

Given that the accepted minimum BR is 20 buyins, I think a 10 buyin downswing is a warning sign that you should move down and work on your game. 20 buyins either means you caught a horrible bad run or are playing to high for your skill level.

[graarrg]

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20 buyins either means you caught a horrible bad run or are playing to high for your skill level.

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right, but I think OP wants to know how likely such a bad run is even for a legit player. It's definitely possible, especially the lower your winrate.

[Miyogi]

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Getting all-in regularly as at least a 65/35 favorite has very little variance involved.

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You should tell that to my AA and KK lately.