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silentbob\'s Week 17 player props thread
Glad the season is ending. I can't wait to start focusing on NBA props.
David Garrard under 17 pass completions at -115 for 1 unit. The numbers say this is a pass, I'm betting strictly on intangibles and weather. The Chiefs defense isn't that great, but they do play somewhat better at home. With a playoff berth at stake, they'll clamp down a bit more. More importantly, the forecast in KC calls for showers early with rain becoming steady and changing to freezing rain by the afternoon. Morning high of 48F with temperatures falling to near freezing. Winds W at 10 to 20 mph. The reason why I'm not betting 2 units is because the Jaguars have been passing more in recent games. Warrick Dunn over 18.5 rushing yards at -120 for 1 unit. Whoa. At first, I thought Bodog was putting up an errant line. Dunn is hurt and listed as probable, but this line seems like an overreaction. Before last week's season low of 29, his previous low was 44. Not betting the farm here because he could easily play very little, but I think this is still too low to pass up completely even if Norwood gets most of the carries. Some "looks too good to be true" sucker bet potential so caveat emptor. That's all for now. Good luck to all. YTD: 31-17-1, +11.42 units |
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Re: silentbob\'s Week 17 player props thread
Ugh, Dunn line already down. That looked like an amazing opportunity.
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Re: silentbob\'s Week 17 player props thread
How do y'all print screen images? I want to post my Dunn bet so no one thinks I'm full of crap. Alternatively, if someone can corroborate that they saw the line while it was up...
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Re: silentbob\'s Week 17 player props thread
"Print screen" will capture a screenshot, which you can save in an image editor, or even just Word, and then host on imageshack or another site. Print screen is Function+Insert on my laptop.
Great work with the NFL player props, Bob. Looking forward to the NBA player props, as they are also soft. Do a little of it myself already, but not systematically. |
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Re: silentbob\'s Week 17 player props thread
garrard's backup is in [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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Re: silentbob\'s Week 17 player props thread
Yeah, I got lucky there. Garrard was on pace to cover barely, and I was shocked that he got pulled for Gray.
As for Dunn, he reached 19 yards fairly quickly. I still can't figure out how to "print screen" at this point but I will. None of you have a reason not to trust me, and this is just a freaking message board, but I do want to show that the Dunn over 18.5 rushing yards prop actually did exist. And I did get paid by Bodog. Anyway, I will sit out NFL props for the playoffs unless I see something really good. This was a good first season and I got lucky on a few occasions, but I feel okay about my ability to handicap individual players and will try again next fall. Thanks to all for your support and encouragement. This week: 2-0, +1.7 units Final YTD: 33-17-1, +13.12 units |
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