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#1
12-28-2006, 02:50 AM
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+EV prop bets -- \"Will team XYZ make the playoffs\"
I ran through the playoff scenarios for each AFC team and computed the breakeven lines for "Will the team make the playoffs?" Here's what I got...
JETS -955 BENGALS +557 JAX +16200 CHIEFS +9272 BRONCOS -913 TITANS +5470 I'm sure I could have made a mistake on some. However, I'm almost certain I didn't on the Titans since there is only one way for them to get in. Long story short, Bodog has the NO on the Titans at -600 (was -550), which is an absolute steal. Some of the other lines appear to be slightly +EV, but not enough to pursue imo. 
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#2
12-28-2006, 02:58 AM
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Re: +EV prop bets -- \"Will team XYZ make the playoffs\"
Incidentally, you can arb this by creating a parlay of:
- Steelers ML - Chiefs ML - Titans ML - 49ers ML Pays out at about +4600. So this could effectively be a -600/+4600 arb. gg Bodog. p.s. - I probably should have titled this thread "FREE $94".
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#6
12-28-2006, 03:20 AM
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Re: +EV prop bets -- \"Will team XYZ make the playoffs\"
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Down as I clicked, thanks tho. [/ QUOTE ] Wow. You must have just missed it. [/ QUOTE ] It was def there when I opened the page, that freakin' horrible movie (Closer) couldn't end one minute sooner.
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#8
12-28-2006, 03:22 AM
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Re: +EV prop bets -- \"Will team XYZ make the playoffs\"
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Down as I clicked, thanks tho. [/ QUOTE ] Wow. You must have just missed it. [/ QUOTE ] It was def there when I opened the page, that freakin' horrible movie (Closer) couldn't end one minute sooner. [/ QUOTE ] Well, after hearing all the facts I have no sympathy. btw - I own that stupid movie because I rented it once and forgot to return it.
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