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#1
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Performify\'s Pigskin Picks: Week 15
Sorry, a busy week due to holiday partys / etc kept this from going up sooner / being more in depth in the writeup department. Not many plays that my system likes this week, at all.
2006 Year to Date: Public Picks record: Game of the Week: 6 - 4 - 4 +11.70 non GotW picks: 17 - 25 - 1 (4.62) All Straight Picks: 23 - 29 - 5 +7.08 Tease of the Week: 6 - 3 - 0 +6.20 All Public Picks: 29 - 32 - 5 +13.28 Weighted Record ala Fezzik: Straight Weighted: 68 - 60 53.20% All Weighted: 85 - 70 54.90% GotW Weighted: 32 - 20 61.54% Cincy +3.5 (-112) at Indy: Game of the Week, 5.6u to win 5u. I have this game nearly equal, so getting 3.5 is huge here. I'd wait to place, keeping an eye on the line because Indy is a strong public favorite here so late money will likely move in on them, getting an even better line. KC +9 (-106): 2.12u to win 2u. As strong as the Chargers are, they can coast a little here, the Chiefs are in a must-win. I don't expect the Chiefs will, but I have this game being decided by a single score. Teaser: Chicago -6.5, Chargers -2.5: I have Chicago covering outright (as just below a 1u pick threshold) but I have moving them inside the 7 a very strong play here. Chargers likewise inside the three. 2.4u to win 2u. Summary of Picks for Week 15: [*] Cincy +3.5 -112 : 5.6u to win 5u[*] KC +9 (-106) : 2.12u to win 2u[*] 6.5pt teaser: Chicago -6.5, Chargers -2.5: 2.4u to win 2u |
#2
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Re: Performify\'s Pigskin Picks: Week 15
Performify, absolutely agree with all your plays this week. Best of luck.
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#3
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Re: Performify\'s Pigskin Picks: Week 15
Damn, I wish you had gotten this up earlier. I was thinking of betting on CHI, but with Tank and Harris both out, thought 13.5 was a little high. So I was thinking of throwing the Bears in a few teasers, but talked myself out of it thinking my Chicago bias was skewing my analysis.
I like the Cincy pick too. |
#4
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Re: Performify\'s Pigskin Picks: Week 15
I'm having trouble deciding whether I like Cincy better with the spread or the moneyline. I might just bet both.
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#5
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Re: Performify\'s Pigskin Picks: Week 15
Adding one unit on KC +9.5 -101.
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#6
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Re: Performify\'s Pigskin Picks: Week 15
GG
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#7
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Re: Performify\'s Pigskin Picks: Week 15
[ QUOTE ]
Adding one unit on KC +9.5 -101. [/ QUOTE ] Tough to say after the fact of course, but I think I was on the right side of this game. The Chargers offense struggled other than LTs single big run, the Chargers caught a big break on the punt block ruling, and the Chiefs were in position to score at the end of the game to go back inside a single possession to cover, but Kennison dropped a pass that hit him in the hands on 4th and 3 which would have put the Chiefs inside field goal range on that next series. Anyways, thats how it goes. The Chargers covering probably has a negative impact on the potential for movement in the Indy line tonight. |
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