200NL: AA on turn, am I crazy to fold this?

napkins · #1 11-12-2006, 01:09 AM

Villain is a pretty tight TAG from what I've seen. Stats are 14/11/5 for 222 hands. On the flop I don't see him calling with anything but a set/overpair. On the turn I don't think he'd bet at me with TT-JJ so I'm just about only beating a bluff in my eyes.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button ($121.90)
SB ($234.25)
BB ($101.05)
Hero ($207.25)
MP ($220.90)
CO ($318.40)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
Hero raises to $8, MP calls $8, 1 fold, Button calls $8, 1 fold, BB calls $6.

Flop: ($33) 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $19, MP calls $19, Button folds, BB folds.

Turn: ($71) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $44, Hero folds.

ImsaKidd · #2 11-12-2006, 01:10 AM

What the hell. This is a good flop to float. He can be betting anything here. I dont know whether raise or call is best, but a fold is terrible IMO.

The Velour Fog · #3 11-12-2006, 01:13 AM

folding is really really awfull [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

Haiku · #4 11-12-2006, 01:16 AM

You're not getting a very true reaction from him because you bet so weakly on the flop.

tufat23 · #5 11-12-2006, 01:16 AM

his AF is 5. he can have anything here. shovemanets. in a better situation folding AA is fine, just never tell anyone

Spartak · #6 11-12-2006, 01:17 AM

Is betting the turn wrong?

n1nj4.br · #7 11-12-2006, 04:41 PM

[ QUOTE ]
folding is really really awfull [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

napkins · #8 11-12-2006, 01:18 AM

I didn't consider he could be floating because the flop went 4-handed. When I bet out I think he'll give me credit for something not to mention he wasn't last to act.

tufat23 · #9 11-12-2006, 01:20 AM

[ QUOTE ]
I didn't consider he could be floating because the flop went 4-handed. When I bet out I think he'll give me credit for something not to mention he wasn't last to act.

[/ QUOTE ]

as villain this is an easy bet with TT because its not only for value, but makes the river easier to play if a K or something falls

napkins · #10 11-12-2006, 01:25 AM

[ QUOTE ]
as villain this is an easy bet with TT because its not only for value, but makes the river easier to play if a K or something falls

[/ QUOTE ]

Good point, don't know why I didn't think he wouldn't bet with TT.

But lets say I call the turn and the river blanks. What do we do here? bet/fold seems good to me I don't want him checking behind if he does have TT-JJ