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#1
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25nl AA bluffcatcher
Villain saw flop- 31% , and was showing a fair amount of post flop aggression, and has been caught making a river bluff earlier in the session. Is he bluffing a missed draw enough of the time for me to call this river? Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (5 handed) internettexasholdem.com BB ($37.60) Hero ($25.35) MP ($25) Button ($24.15) SB ($20.42) Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. MP posts a blind of $0.25. SB posts a blind of $0.10. <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1.25</font>, MP (poster) calls $1, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls $1. Flop: ($3.85) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $2.9</font>, MP folds, BB calls $2.90. Turn: ($9.65) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $7</font>, BB calls $7. River: ($23.65) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $10</font>, Hero? |
#2
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Re: 25nl AA bluffcatcher
i think so.
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#3
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Re: 25nl AA bluffcatcher
You should have made the flop bet $4 [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img].
The thing is what would he call your 5xbb preflop bet with? TT, A7s, ATs, JTs With a vpip of 31% I would say those are the only hands he could have that could beat you. But if he made this kind of call/call/bluff before then go ahead and call it. Cause most of the time he just missed his draw. |
#4
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Re: 25nl AA bluffcatcher
He has just as many hands that don't have a T.
AJ/AQ/AK/KQ/QJ/KJ/etc... I call here. |
#5
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Re: 25nl AA bluffcatcher
He could have 44, K10, Q10. I've made this call plenty of times, but it is a boat alot.
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#6
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Re: 25nl AA bluffcatcher
Looks like c/c w/ a T or the missed flush. What was his previous river bluff like?
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#7
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Re: 25nl AA bluffcatcher
Folds.
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#8
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Re: 25nl AA bluffcatcher
[ QUOTE ]
Folds. [/ QUOTE ] Why? |
#9
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Re: 25nl AA bluffcatcher
Getting 3:1 making this call is probably EV neutral. With a better read, hero can make a better decision. Not sure I see enough in the OP's read to change my mind here.
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#10
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Re: 25nl AA bluffcatcher
I wouldnt have much of a problem saying that this is a boat 70-80% of the time i've found myself in this situation
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