NL1000, 180BBs deep, folding a set here?

ocklind · #1 10-22-2006, 06:51 PM

I'd been playing quite laggy for the last hour and tangled alot with everyone, including villain. I was contemplating a fold here since a higher set seemed very likely to me. I basically put him on 85, 88, 55, As3-4s, 43s and 76s but in a multiway pot a set seems more likely, why raise and shut everyone else out with As3-4s. Although I underrepped my set I am not sure what to do. Villain had been running at 24/16/4 and I hadn't seem him show down any silly hands and he therefore seemd solid to me with a WTSD at 26% (good bluff reader prolly). The sample is over 542 hands.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $10 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

saw flop|saw showdown

Hero ($4411.30)
SB ($1801)
BB ($577.73)
UTG ($1072.75)
MP ($435)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $5.
1 fold, MP raises to $35, Hero calls $35, SB (poster) calls $30, BB calls $25.

Flop: ($140) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $100, SB raises to $333, BB folds, MP folds, Hero calls $233.

Turn: ($806) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB bets $510.

Final Pot: $1316

ninjia3x · #2 10-22-2006, 07:05 PM

lol, why call the flop bet if u'r going to fold the turn?

you didn't see that 510 bet once he CRed to 333?

Petey_TKE · #3 10-22-2006, 07:05 PM

Push turn...Your now a large favorite against his range and your set is very under-repped...The guy has an aggro level of 4, he could be beting a large amount of hands..

I would have guessed you didnt 3-bet him on the flop inorder to draw out a leadbet on the turn...You got what you wished.

DG

tcorbin16 · #4 10-22-2006, 11:13 PM

r u serious this is such an easy turn shove. heck you could even 3 bet the flop if u wanted.

dtan05 · #5 10-22-2006, 11:15 PM

lol @ folding a set, unless there's something really bad like four to a straight or four to a flush, or read giong on, you really shouldn't be folding it.

NDHand · #6 10-23-2006, 12:15 AM

Insta-Turbo-Shove

smartalecc5 · #7 10-23-2006, 12:19 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Insta-Turbo-Shove

[/ QUOTE ]

Petteri · #8 10-23-2006, 03:47 AM

76s, A3s, A4s, 88, 55 is pretty much his range if he is solid. 3 suited hands and 6 pairs. 43s and 85 are too weak hands to play OOP. 24/16/4 suggests that he might even fold 76s, A3s, A4s, from OOP against 2 players.

There is very rare spots where you fold set. Now villains play really screams set or less likely monster draw. Monster draw seems bit unlikely. Stack size is the key. With 180 BB effective stack I fold this. Under 110 BB I would shove.

DJ Sensei · #9 10-23-2006, 05:30 AM

PUSH IT TO THE LIMIT!

UpstateNYAAonly · #10 10-23-2006, 05:32 AM

obv KKK